This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
Q3 stocks – page 6
Rio Tinto (RIO)
Shares in UK listed miners are currently trading around historic lows, with some at all-time lows. From a technical standpoint, investors may find the considerable upside potential attractive. On the other hand, ongoing US Dollar strength and concerns over growth in major commodities consumer China are looking set to keep commodity prices under pressure for some time yet, which could stifle hopes of a recovery. Rio Tinto impressed with its results on 16 July as production increased and the company continued to invest. That’s all good, but unfortunately RIO has no control over demand, which is still proving elusive in the absence of Chinese economic growth. For a more detailed report on all the UK Index miners, click here
Will RIO embrace technology to find a way out, or will one of its competitors? Will shares recover towards Feb 2014 highs 3640p? or will they break down below support around 2400p?

Technical observations
- Shares trading around 6-year lows
- 20-day MA proving resistive
- Volume diverged with recent share price bounce
Bloomberg Broker Consensus, RIO: 38% Buy, 50% Hold, 12% Sell;
Consensus target: 2920p (+21%)

Barclays (BARC)
Markets appear to be lapping up news that Barclays is to cut 7000 investment banking jobs by the end of 2016 while the UK bank is set to become smaller and less competitive as a result. Lower costs (via savings on wages and property) and reduced risk are seemingly encouraging buyers to the stock, but is confidence waning in the UK banking sector’s ability to compete at the highest levels?
Will they continue on towards highs of 297p and above, buoyed by a move away from high risk investment banking? Or will they pull back towards lows around 200p?
Technical observations
- Shares are nearing 2014 highs 297p in a 2-year sideways trading channel.
Bloomberg Broker Consensus, BARC: 63% Buy, 27% Hold, 10% Sell;
Consensus target: 303p (+5%)
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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research