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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Royal Bank of Scotland

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Royal Bank of Scotland - 21 February 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 274p
  • Stop Loss: 260p (14p/5.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 310p (36p/13.1% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.6x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • 12-month rising channel; Support via Feb lows
  • Technicals up off oversold lows
  • Positive directional indicator bottoming out
  • 200-day MA support at 268p

Observations – Against

  • ADX (trend strength) still waning
  • No bullish reversal on Point & Figure
  • MACD and Momentum still negative
  • Stochastics yet to break above MACD

Analyst Comments

Potential for bounce towards ceiling of 12-month falling channel. Pulled back after early Feb bounce, but not traded any lower than 272p. Opportunity for FY results on Friday to show a return to profit for the first time in a decade. Legal issues out in the open (treatment of UK small businesses, US mis-selling). Less UK housing exposure than LLOY. More UK business exposure in an economy faring well in the face of Brexit.

Consensus is bullish in terms of rating, but plenty of potential for neutrals to upgrade if they believe shares can keep rising towards late 2015 highs of 335p, especially with 75% of price targets suggesting upside from current levels.

Next Event: FY results, 23 Feb (Friday); Q1 results, 27 April

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  31% Buy, 54% Hold, 15% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily): Stochastics, MACD, ADX (Trend strength), RSI and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.4 -7.8 0.2 6.4 5.9 11.4 -31.1 -23.0 -22.6
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