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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Melrose Industries

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Melrose Industries - 16 July 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 219p
  • Stop Loss: 212p (7p/3.2% below)
  • Profit Limit: 235p (16p/7.3% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.3x
  • CFD Margin: 10%

Observations – For

  • Bullish breakout
  • Range trading
  • Broke back above rising trendline since Dec 2017
  • Stochastics broken above MACD
  • Directional Indicators converging bullishly
  • Strong Momentum

Observations – Against

  • Bullish Reversal on Point & Figure chart
  • No Bullish Cross by Directional Indicators
  • 100-day Moving Average resistance around 225p

Analyst Comments

Bullish breakout above rising support dating back to December 2017. Trading within a range in 2018 and currently on a leg up. Healthy dividend yield of 4.4%. Global trade confrontation could hurt businesses, rendering them cheaper and providing Melrose with more bargain opportunities.

Broker consensus is positively biased, with 91% of analysts saying “Buy“, 9% neutral and none saying “Sell”. The breakout could induce the remainder of analysts sitting on the fence to upgrade their ratings. 88% of broker targets suggest an upside from current price levels in the medium term. Average 12-month target price of 264p is well-above out short-term trading goal.

Risk to MRO shares include uncertainty regarding post-Brexit movement of capital, which could impact company’s core business of buying and selling troubled businesses. Disappointing trading update or poor FY results in September could negatively impact the share price.  FX headwinds could make overseas acquisitions more expensive.

Next Event: Interim Results, 6 Sep

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  91% Buy, 9% Hold, 0% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

12-month (daily): Stochastics, MACD, ADX (Trend strength), RSI and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 5.6 -8.3 -2.2 -3.5 -7.7 87.5 354.1 318.1 237.1
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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