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Buy – Johnson Matthey - 31 January 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 3330p
  • Stop Loss: 3265p (65p/2.0% below)
  • Profit Limit: 3500p (170p/5.1% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.6x
  • CFD Margin: 8%

Observations – For

  • Bullish breakout
  • Held breakout for 3-day rule
  • RSI in upper half = bullish
  • Stochastics holding above MACD

Observations – Against

  • Stochastics could be deemed overbought
  • Directoinal indicators not converging bullishly
  • No moving average support before 3230p
  • ADX (trend strength) flattening out

Analyst Comments

Attractive share price breakout and pause for consolidation. M&A with automotive supplier peer GKN. Catalysts key since auto emissions cheating scandal. Move into batteries suggests embracing electric vehicle future.

Consensus is bullish and 75% of target prices suggest upside from current levels. The 12-month consensus target is well above our objective of a mere revisit of Sept/Nov highs.

Next Event:  Q3 Trading statement, early Feb; Full year results, 31 May; Monthly auto sales

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  61% Buy, 28% Hold, 11% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

9-month, daily chart: MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RS and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 2.6 8.3 0.2 19.1 2.5 35.1 -3.6 -4.2 36.4
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