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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – BT - 22 September 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 282p
  • Stop Loss: 270p (12p/4.3% below)
  • Profit Limit: 318p (36p/12.8% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 3.2x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Support at 280p
  • Potential bullish double bottom 
  • MACD back above signal line
  • Momentum almost back positive
  • Jump in volume last time we tested 280p

Observations – Against

  • MACD & momentum still negative
  • 20/50/100-day MAs could be a hurdle
  • No Point & figure chart reversal
  • No bullish cross by directional indicators
  • Speculative trade idea

Analyst Comments

Attractive technical set-up with shares trading around multi-year lows. Defensive sectors such as Telecoms are of interest in demand amid geopolitical risk and thanks to attractive 4.5% dividend yield. Lots of bad news already out in the open could mean downside is limited.

Consensus is very bullish (only 12% sells) with over 80% of broker targets suggesting upside from current levels. Our short-term trade objective of 318p is well below consensus target of 356p. A share price bounce could encourage neutral brokers to upgrade their ratings and targets.

Next Event: Q2 2017/18 results, 2 Nov

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  52% Buy, 36% Hold, 12Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.3 -3.6 -0.5 -13.9 -28.0 -31.9 -29.2 -17.7 21.4
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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