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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Anglo American - 7 August 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 1299p
  • Stop Loss: 1250p (49.5p/3.8% below)
  • Profit Limit: 1425p (125.5p/9.7% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.5x
  • CFD Margin: 10%

Observations – For

  • Bullish flag pattern
  • 20-day MA crossed above 200-day MA
  • Stochastics & RSI holding upper half = bullish
  • Momentum positive and rising

Observations – Against

  • Lack of volume on breakout
  • RSI & Stochastics technically overbought
  • Metals prices strong, but oil weaker
  • Shares +37% since mid-June

Analyst Comments

Attractive technical set-up with breakout from bullish flag pattern offering potential for a return to February highs. Company set to start paying dividends sooner than expected. Optimism towards sector returned after brief pause, with metals demand from China solid. Suggestions of iron ore supply issues this winter.

Consensus is biased bullish (40% Buy, 47% hold), with potential for neutrals to upgrade to Buy. This is supported by 57% of broker targets having target prices below current levels, meaning revisions could be required in light of the recent rally, especially with shares trading so close to the consensus target.

Next Event: China trade data, tomorrow; Q3 Production report, 24 Oct

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  40% Buy, 47% Hold, 13Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

7-month (daily); MACD, Stochastics, Relative Strength Index, Momentum & Trend Strength

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 5.5 21.8 29.9 -2.4 53.8 65.7 -18.0 -10.8 -31.6
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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