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Syncona/Woodford: Therapeutic news

Shares in Syncona top the this morning, back flirting with turn-of-the-month record highs. This comes after confirmation that it will IPO (in the US, today) one of its portfolio companies, Autolus Therapeutics (AUTL: T-cell cancer treatments), at the very top end of the  $15-17 offer range. The IPO (22% stake sale) will generate $150m proceeds for AUTL and boosts the value of SYNC’s shareholding by a significant 80%. SYNC will retain a 33.8% stake, having agreed to invest $24m in the IPO, maintaining the long-term interest it favours in its holdings.

Also trading higher by 3.5% on this news is Neil Woodford’s Patient Capital investment vehicle (WPCT) which thankfully owns a 15.9% stake in AUTL. Having had a tough time of it recently, dented by a series of unfortunate profit warnings, he announces some rare good news with the IPO boosting the value of his investment in the company by 51%, a valuable 3.2p increase on Thursday’s NAV. This also vindicates his preference for early-stage investing, although he likely needs several more of these to make up for the pain his shareholders have had to endure (shares -24% since April 2015 IPO; -27% since July 2017 highs; volatile 2018).

However, these valuation increases are paper profits only. The fate of one therapeutics company’s shares does not necessarily have read-across to other, but sceptics may point to SYNC’s other recent US IPO – Nightstar Therapuetics. Its shares may well have popped from its IPO price of $14 to close at $24 (+71%) when it listed late last September, but they have since fallen back to trade below $15 since last December, only recently breaking higher after a favourable FDA response.

But SYNC shares haven’t been bothered in the slightest; +130% since late 2012’s IPO, accelerating since January 2017, and +33% since the Nightstar IPO in-spite of the latter’s troubled post-listing performance. More in the pipeline?

Mike van Dulken, Head of Research, 22 Jun 2018

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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