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Sophos: Upgraded outlook secure?

Cloud-based security platform Sophos (SOPH) is topping the this morning, its shares +6.9% after a trading statement suggesting strong momentum in Q3 and an upgraded outlook. Revenues +11% were boosted by strong software subscription (billing +16.1%), a very successful first full quarter for next-generation product Intercept X and, perhaps more importantly, operating profit back in the black. While performance in Europe remained solid, growth in the US accelerated and Asia held steady.

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Management’s strong visibility over future billings, revenues and profitability (improved renewal rates; continued new customer growth) and free cash flow +28% (upgraded outlook sees this doubling in the full year) appears to be underpinning bullishness, sending the shares for a test of all-time highs from Nov 2015.

Adding to a string of positive reactions to recent acquisitions (Tesco, Reckitt), Sophos buying US-focused Invincea (machine-learning, signature-less, next-generation tech) for $100m (7.5x billing, 10.2x revenues) is also clearly being taken as an opportunity to bolster the group, adding to 20% to the top-line, and SOPH’s size and experience allowing it to work a $11.8m pre-tax loss into a profit.

Mike van Dulken, Head of Research, 8 Feb 2017

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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