Getting latest data loading
Home / Blog / blog / Patience is a trading virtue

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Patience is a trading virtue

Waiting for a share price to bounce reduces the remaining profit potential from a recovery rally. But as the price rises, so too does certainty about a rebound rally to your target. Correctly calling the bottom offers maximum profit, but it also comes at the point of maximum risk. Waiting for signs of a rebound reduces profits, but it also reduces risk. Patience may have its costs but it also has its benefits.

Think of it in a sporting context. At the start of the football season each team in the premiership has a theoretical chance of winning the league (bouncing and rallying). The odds of doing so will depend on track record: whether they have won, or come close before, dictates the odds and profit potential from correctly picking them as the season victor.

Some odds will be very long. Think newly promoted, e.g. no history of the shares finding support and bouncing, or whoever survived relegation last season. Some odds will be much shorter. Think regular contenders; e.g. bounced off clear support level several times.

As the season progresses, odds and profit potential will rise and fall as teams win, lose and draw each weekend. Anyone stretching out a sizeable points lead will see the odds of them winning the league shorten. This is akin to a share price bouncing, reducing the recovery distance and profits on offer if the shares rally back to prior highs. Anyone struggling each week, languishing at the bottom of the table, will see odds remain low, perhaps even worsen. This is like a share falling, finding support but showing no signs of a bounce, then treading water or, worse still, breaking even lower.

Calling the bottom before a rally will make you the maximum profit, but it also involves you taking maximum risk. Why not give up a small portion of the profits on offer? Why not wait for proof and more certainty that the shares do indeed want to bounce? Surely this is worth some patience and a small amount of profit forgone.

Calling it right at the beginning of the season may well gain you bragging rights in the pub come May. But is it worth a potentially wasted punt? You can have a flutter on the success of new players, a new manager or a newly promoted team in August (hoping for a bounce). You can place a wager on one of the serial top 5 finishers (history of bouncing off support).

But is it not worth waiting a few weeks, to see who’s really on form, showing signs of a genuine bounce? It’s not always easy. “Fear of missing out”, or FOMO, is a well known phenomenon. But the difference between making a rash decision that turns bad, versus waiting for credible proof can be well worth the wait.

Here’s two options for you. Would you prefer a 30% chance of a bounce that delivers a 25% rally? What about waiting for signs of a bounce in return for an improved 60% chance of a 20% profit? The first is an outright gamble, the second is rather more of a calculated decision.

Patience has a trading cost, but only in terms of profit foregone. The trade itself doesn’t cost you anything more.

Patience may have its costs but it also has its benefits.

Mike van Dulken, Head of Research, 5 Feb 2019

« Back to Category

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Comments are closed.

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.5% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EXCELLENT

4.81 Average

156 Reviews

George

I have found Accendo staff very helpful,,and informed. I have traded with you for some years now and have no regrets. Keep up the good work!

Posted 1 year ago

Shaun D

since signing up for Accendo I have had two traders, Mark and Sam. I have found both of these to be very informative about how CFD's work and they have made it very easy for me. Since working with Sam (last four months) my trading knowledge has improved and I can make more informative decisions about which Company's to invest with. Keep up the good work Sam.

Posted 1 year ago

Anonymous

I am very happy with the service I get from Accendo Markets and in particular Amrit Panesar. He is very professional and pleasant to speak to and this counts for a lot.

Posted 1 year ago

Shreekant P

Its a good site for dealing stocks worldwide and having good staff.

Posted 1 year ago

Nick W

Krishan Appiah is one of the most dedicated / informative broker I have ever had.

Posted 1 year ago

Thomas I

Since I have been trading with Accendo Markets I have experienced much greater success than has been my experience with other trading companies mainly due to the help given by, what I consider to be my terminal with the trading floor, Mark, who has been most helpful in reminding me of the progress of my positions throughout the day and keeping me in touch with those positions so that I can more easily make successful trades when appropriate instead of missing out on opportunities through lack of attention. He draws my attention to the situations and enables me to make profitable trades. I am very happy with the situation at the moment and am enjoying the experience. Thomas Irving.

Posted 1 year ago

Kartik A

Accendo markets keep me connected with the market and its very well followed by Mr. Krishan Appiah ,which helps me to take certain decision on time.

Posted 1 year ago

Peter p

I have been trading with Accendo Markets and James Abbott my account manager for coming on 5 years now, James Abbott the senior trader of Accendo Markets provides me with up to minute information when I need it and find him very easy and professional to deal with. Whenever I need to trade or am not sure about anything James is always their to help with any queries I may have. The Accendo Platform I find very easy to use and navigate although it has been slightly changed over the years but definitely for the better. Personal when I do trade 90% of the time, I rather telephone call to place my trade dealings and if James is not there to take my call I find others at Accendo like Sam, Lee take my trades and are. All in all everyone at Accendo Markets are amazing to deal with and my relationship with Accendo is just as I like it. Peter Petrou

Posted 2 years ago

Mrs. J

"Our Trader, Aymen Azizi, has been nothing but attentive to our every need throughout our long relationship with him. No issue is too small, full explanations on all our questions."

Posted 2 years ago

Brian R

I have been with Accendo for a long time now, ten or twelve year's, probably more . As I told Sam (my trader) I thought that CFDs were better than sex . I stopped trading for a few years and only started back about a couple of months ago. But it is as if I had never been gone , so to speak. Sam has helped me every step of the way, at my age one forgets things. I have only praise for Accendo and as far as I am concerned the platform is the best . Now I am back trading at 71 years of age, I might even try sex again. Brian Robertson.

Posted 2 years ago

Jim W

I understand how to make a profit with CFDs. I am restricted by the range of companies I have knowledge of. Although, I am not sure that is a big problem. Tom Robertson is a very fine man.

Posted 2 years ago

Rebekah S

Well, I would not be trading without the help of my trader, Sam Alnakkash. He provided a really great overview of Accendo Markets, an insight into trading in general and how to get started in trading online. His advice, support and training has been fantastic all along the way, enabling me to start trading earlier than I would have done had I not had the support. He has also been very adept at understanding me as a client in order to help me achieve my trading goals. I still have a lot to learn and hope I will get there.

Posted 2 years ago

Nick z

I like the updates on shares I trade. Updates from Bloomberg and Reuters plus industry updates and breaking news. I've had Matt Grice and James Abbott and found both to be excellent. I would like to continue a personal service with James. He understands how and which stocks I trade.

Posted 2 years ago

Steve O

Excellent, knowledgable broker interaction and communication, coupled with very good research and analysis.

Posted 2 years ago

William P

Being new to direct trading I needed help and was given all the time and advice that I needed to feel fully able to make decisions on what I wanted to invest in. I asked for and got exactly the type of info I required provided by Tom Cook, who I would recommend to anyone looking for help.

Posted 2 years ago

Mr. W

I have been dealing with accendo for the past 8 years my broker Amrit I find him very helpful when he is there lol and had many offers to change but will not do it Bill Roberts

Posted 2 years ago

Zoran N

Very good all round service! Timely market information. (charts + trends coverage ) On the ball accounts managers ,quickly available and alert . Part of my success owed to my personal manager Mr Sam Springet , than you.

Posted 2 years ago

Mr Brian C

Easy to deal with.....

Posted 2 years ago

Muhammed S

Accendo markets are great for trading cfds and their research is second to none! Aymen manages my account is extremely helpful and always keeps me updated on market info. Thanks again

Posted 2 years ago

Mr Buta B

Always available, whenever I call I get straight through to someone that can and will help. The staff are very knowledgeable, helpful and easy to talk to.

Posted 2 years ago

Stephen B

Aymen Azizi keeps an eye on what is happening in the market and informs me with timely relevancy, email call, and txt.

Posted 2 years ago

.