This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
Equities hindered this morning, despite Asian gains, following a weak US close on uncertainty regarding today’s US Jobs report and what it could mean for the employment half of the Fed’s mandate and whether it moves to raise rates in September or waits until later in the year. Commodities may have bounced on a slightly softer USD and slightly improved demand prospects but remain under considerable pressure while time ticks on towards need for a Greek bailout deal before 20 Aug ECB debt repayment deadline with Germany suggesting more time and another bridge loan may be required.
UK 100 still hindered around 6760 by 2-month falling highs and 200-day MA. DAX30 back below 11600 on weak Industrial production confounding Factory Orders, but yet to test 11500. Dow Jones holding around 17400 lows and 5-month falling support. Gold in $1085-1100 range, doing its best to test upside resistance.
Click below to expand sections
UK 100 testing 6730 support on rising trend-line from 6500 lows. Failed to overcome resistance at 6760 with 2-month falling highs and 200-day MA still a hindrance. Falling 3-day highs could put paid to rising 2-week channel, negating chance of breakout from bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
Germany’s DAX trading back from the week’s and rebound highs having found resistance at trendline of falling highs dating back to late April. But yet to test 11500, a test of which could lead to further retracement.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
US Dow Jones still wrestling with downtrend from mid-July, helped only by shallow falling support at 17370. Beware potential 200-day MA resistance at 17844 which is just above end-July highs. Watch for NFP at 1.30pm which could see the index swing around.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
Gold trying its hardest to break away from narrowing $1085-1100 range, with a test this morning just shy the upper end. Will it manage to deliver a rebound from 5.5yr lows after the recent pause? Or are fundamentals just too dire. Note any breakout has multiple resistance hurdles to overcome at $1115 and $1170.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research