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Index Focus – 3 Nov - 3 November 2015

European bourses a little negative but outperforming US peers this morning with a weaker Euro / stronger dollar in the driving seat amid mixed news and commentary surrounding the US Fed (bad communicators?), Britain’s future in Europe and Europe’s waning confidence in the US administration. It seems as if general uncertainty prevails.

Aussie interest rates are unchanged. The RBA did leave the door open to a rate cut, however, but note that while much talk of lower rates pervades markets it seems clearer every day that the only beneficiary of such central bank action is the stock market in whichever country it happens to be taken. Consumer confidence thus left wanting… 

Does the rally still have legs?

Click below to expand sections.

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards 6420? or;
  2. Will the index break below 6300?

UK 100  broke below 6380 but bounced off 6360. Bulls seeing it as still a pause within a longer term uptrend (since late-Aug) while bears undoubtedly eyeing the week-long falling channel and pull back to 6300.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6360, 6340, 6320
  • Potential resistance: 6380, 6390, 6400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 10995? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 10600?

Germany’s DAX found support again at a rising week-long trend line, however falling highs through Monday putting the index into a narrowing pattern. Consolidation or correction?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10900, 10875, 10800
  • Potential resistance: 10950, 10975, 11000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 18360? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 17500?

US Dow Jones futures now very close to 5-month falling highs resistance having broken above key 200-day MA in mid-Oct.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 17780, 17625, 17515
  • Potential resistance: 17840, 17850, 18144

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rally towards $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards $1100?

Chartists might say the Gold sell-off is slowing at the floor of a 3-month rising channel with potential for a bounce back towards $1200 on the cards, while many will wait for US macro data to determine direction.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1130, 1122, 1105
  • Potential resistance: 1140, 1150, 1160

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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