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Index Focus – 20 Oct - 20 October 2015

Equity markets in the red this morning, following Asian peers lower with little in the way of macro-data to drive things (except for disappointing German PPI readings). Commentary from the ECB that Eurozone inflation is way off the mark flew in the face of a prior comment from Noyer saying that QE is working well. That’s caused some confusion in European equity markets while US futures remain largely flat.

In focus today and this week will be Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit. Will more business deals be announced? Will the UK commodities sector benefit?

Commodities remain under pressure with Oil experiencing a sell-off this morning – digestion of Iran’s intent to participate in the markets sending prices down and ergo energy stocks.

Gold has recovered yesterday’s losses but is still struggling to break out above 4-day falling highs despite a small drop-off in USD strength. Note weakening USD is an indicator of lower demand due to perception of lower US interest rates. Sometimes good for Gold, but better for risk-on investors in the current climate who see better growth potential in equities.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 6450 and above? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 5880?

UK 100  broke down below the floor of its October rising channel. 6300 likely support for any further down move while 6400 remains the major hurdle en route to a re-test of 4-week highs 6450.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6300, 6250, 6140
  • Potential resistance: 6370, 6400, 6450

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 11800? or;
  2. Will the index pull back towards 9300?

Germany’s DAX remains subdued by the falling trendline around 10200. Still, however, supported above 10000 while the 50-day MA looks to be holding firm as support too. The Index shed around 2000pts from late July to late August. Could it re-gain another 1600pts between now and mid-Nov?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 10100, 10050, 9880
  • Potential resistance: 10170, 10190, 10200

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index break out above 17250? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 16200?

US Dow Jones futures testing the ceiling of a 2-month rising channel within longer term sideways trend/recovery from late Aug lows around 15250. Note very narrow upwards-crawling trading range of last few days will be encouraging for bulls.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sidaways
  • Potential support: 17100, 17040, 17000
  • Potential resistance: 17230, 17320, 17500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rally back towards highs of $1192? or;
  2. Will Gold move down towards channel floor $1165?

Gold continuing to correct downwards under strong resistance at falling highs since 15 Oct. Now back below 200-day MA 1175.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1170, 1168, 1164
  • Potential resistance: 1175, 1178, 1180

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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