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Index Focus – 18 Nov - 18 November 2015

Equities posting small losses this morning, giving up some of their recent defiance-inspired gains. This comes after lacklustre closes in the US and Asia, and the key commodity sector remaining under pressure from a strong USD ahead of Fed minutes which could pave the way for a rate rise next month. Along with an uncertain global growth outlook and raw material supply gluts after over-investment, and several more security alerts over the past 12 hours, sentiment is being kept in check following the strong recovery rally.

UK Index  still sideways around 6250 after failure at 6280. Dax has double intersecting support around 10900. Wall St holding above 17450 after pullback from 17600. Gold made fresh 5.5yr lows of $1064 overnight.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards 6450? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 6000?

UK 100 sideways around 6250, taking a pause after 4% recovery rally and following failures at 6280. Overnight lows 6227 holding up for now, but momentum cleraly waning. Potential for any break-down to be limited by 2-week  intersecting trendline.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6227, 6210, 6180
  • Potential resistance: 6250, 6262, 6280

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 11050? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 9350?

Germany’s DAX still wrestling with 4-month falling highs which saw it turn back at 10975. Potential short term support around 10880 but upside limited by significant hurdle. Beware a sharp retrace to 10600.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 10880, 10850, 10780
  • Potential resistance: 10950, 10975, 11000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 18000? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 17150?

US Dow Jones futures holding up at 17450, however, potential for 2-day H&S top reversal to result in a breakdown towards 17300. Failure at 17600 highs last night maintains downtrend from early November.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 17460, 17400, 17330
  • Potential resistance: 17480, 17500, 17600

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rally towards $1098? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards $1064?

Gold made fresh 5yr lows yesterday after the USD strengthened further. Still in clear 3yr downtrend. For a short-term double-bottom reversal to succeed, a break above $1074 is required.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1070, 1066, 1064
  • Potential resistance: 1072, 1074, 1080

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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