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Index Focus – 10 Nov - 10 November 2015

Equity markets in positive territory, albeit with limited gains, as poor Chinese inflation data added to a weekend trade data disappointment and bolstered suggestions that more stimulus is warranted. With markets still big fans of cheap money and extraordinary policy, this offsets some of the more recent uncertainty related to global growth, equities being overvalued and fears of an imminent US rate hike. We note, however, markets still don’t yet consider a Fed rate rise to be a done deal.

UK 100 bounced off 6280 overnight but remains in downtrend from last Wednesday. DAX testing floor of shallow rising channel at 10080. Wall St back above 17700 but continues to turn down from 18000. Gold sideways around $1090 after falling to 3-month lows.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards 6750? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 5900?

UK 100  continues to fall back towards key 6250 support. This prolongs the pause after the early October breakout. Will we get a bounce or will we break lower? Any help from 50-day MA?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6277, 6250, 6180
  • Potential resistance: 6330, 6380, 6400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally above highs of 11050? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 9300?

Germany’s DAX broken below trendline of 6-week rising support, but continuing to hold shallow 2-week rising channel. Pause before another rally or a precursor to a breakdown?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10800, 10790, 10730
  • Potential resistance: 10866, 10900, 10940

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 18365? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 17000?

US Dow Jones futures continuing to turn over from heavily overbought position (ditto for all US bourses) with RSI also breaking below rising support. Watch for index support at 200-day MA at 17593.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17720, 17700, 17664,
  • Potential resistance: 17700, 17870, 17925

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rally towards $1190? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards $1077?

Gold back up off $1085 support with RSI recovering from oversold territory. Technically, potential for recovery, but US rate rise and stronger USD remain indisputable headwinds and a break above $1100 would provide better confirmation.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1090, 1085, 1077
  • Potential resistance: 1096, 1100, 1105

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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