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Index Focus - 30 September 2016

Equities are nursing losses into the weekend, derived from more intense anxiety about the health of Germany’s Deutsche Bank. Major equity indices are, nonetheless, off their worst levels courtesy of intervention by DBK’s CEO saying market anxiety is excessive, fine or no fine from the US DoJ. Contagion fears that were denting financial peers may have eased but of course remain ready to pounce on the next negative DBK soundbite. Efforts to rekindle OPEC production-cut excitement have already run their course, oil prices back from overnight highs hindered by fresh USD strength linked to safehaven seeking, an additional weight on reduced risk appetite within the commodity sector excl Gold.

The UK 100 sell-off has found support and bounced off post-Brexit rising support at 6810. The DAX 30 has bounced at 10200 from the floor of its shallow falling channel. Dow Jones Futures have bounced off 18100 to maintain their 2-week narrowing pattern. As expected, Gold has rebounded thanks to 2016 rising lows at $1317.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6640? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6955?

The UK 100 ‘s sell-off has found support and bounced off post-Brexit rising support at 6810. Bounce back on the cards?

Watch levels: Bullish 6865, Bearish 6835

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6840, 6830, 6820, 6810, 6800, 675
  • Potential resistance: 6855, 6860, 6875, 6890, 6900, 6935

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 10800? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 9900?

The DAX 30 has bounced at 10200 from the floor of a 6-week shallow falling channel. RSI shows positive divergence with price.

Watch levels: Bullish 10305, Bearish 10255

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 10265, 10250, 10235, 10200, 10175, 10100, 10000
  • Potential resistance: 10295, 10300, 10325, 10350, 10375, 10425, 10450, 10500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17900? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18550?

Dow Jones Futures have bounced off 18100 to maintain their 2-week narrowing pattern. Back to the ceiling? RSI shows positive divergence with price.

Watch levels: Bullish 18175, Bearish 18125

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18140, 18120, 18100, 18080, 18050, 18000, 17960, 17900
  • Potential resistance: 18160, 18215, 18285, 18330, 18365, 18395, 18425, 18450

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1375? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1305?

As expected, Gold has rebounded off 2016 rising lows at $1317.

Watch levels: Bullish $1328.5, Bearish $1324

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1327, 1326, 1326, 1324, 1323, 1322, 1320, 1318, 1316
  • Potential resistance: 1328, 1330, 1332, 1334, 1336, 1338, 1340, 1342

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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