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Index Focus - 27 April 2016

Equity markets struggling for traction this morning, but losses are minimal as traders usher the major bourses sideways ahead of central bank from the Fed and BoJ. Risk appetite dented by a disappointing brace of results from Apple and Twitter overnight and, strangely, failing to garner any support from oil prices trading fresh 2016 recovery highs. Commodities prices mixed with precious metals benefiting from dialled down market sentiment and industrial metals digesting a sharp pull-back/retrace by iron ore which had perhaps rallied too far on Chinese fuelled speculation. USD bounce helping DAX (weaker EUR for German exporters) but may have run its course. Will Fed deliver a dovish update that weakens the Dollar? Will more BoJ policy easing slam the Yen and send the Dollar higher? A big night in store for markets.

UK 100  sideways 6250-6300 awaiting a catalyst to break it out of this week’s tight range. DAX30 found support just above 10200 to stem the downtrend from last week. Wall Street/Dow futures sideways at 17975 into apex of a narrowing pattern ahead of Fed update. Gold broken above $1242 as risk appetite wanes.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6070? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6430?

UK 100  back from is 6300 highs of the week, still in a 6250-6300 sideways channel awaiting a catalyst for a break. Could the Fed or BoJ be that catalyst overnight? Will the bullish April uptrend hold?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6280, 6270, 6250
  • Potential resistance: 6300, 6320, 6340

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9450?  or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10530?

The DAX is still in a downtrend from last week’s highs but has found just north of 10200 to stem the declines. Can it overcome the trendline of bearish falling highs?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10360, 10320, 10300
  • Potential resistance: 10390, 10400, 10430

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17500? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18170?

The Dow Jones is trending sideways into the apex of a narrowing pattern ahead of this evening’s Fed monetary policy update. Will the eventual breakout be north or south? Mid-April uptrend intact.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 18020, 18000, 17970
  • Potential resistance: 18050, 18100, 18160

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1210? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1270?

Gold made a break above Monday’s highs which makes sense in terms of risk appetite being dialed down ahead of those major central bank updates. Can the Fed deliver a dovish enough update to weaken the USD and boost Gold’s rebound? Or will BoJ policy easing slam the Yen and send the USD higher? Which will win out?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1232, 1230, 1228
  • Potential resistance: 1235, 1241, 1245

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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