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Index Focus - 25 May 2016

Equities are holding on to their strong gains, with bulls clearly in control helping several major equity indices deliver breakouts from sideways channels or downtrends. Optimism stems from a second successive positive US API oil report that has seen the barrel creep ever close to the key $50/barrel. This is on top of an already heavily dented Greek debt crisis can being kicked down the road until Autumn, Brexit fears receding, concerns about a US Summer rate hike having dissipated amid mixed US data coupled with some positive German data this morning helping with Eurozone sentiment. Everything, it would seem, is rosy. Sell in May? We’re only just in the red. And still in recovery mode from multi-month lows.

The UK 100 is digesting yesterday’s sharp gains, but support already formed at 6245 for any extension northThe DAX30 is testing 10200 following its breakout at 10100. Triple bottom like the UK Index ? Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have broken beyond April falling highs at 17750, opening the door for a bullish run back to 2016 highs of 18150. Gold continues to sell-off after breaking below 3-month rising support, hindered by a strong USD and appetite for risk assets over safehavens.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6050? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6430?

The  UK 100 is taking a well warranted digestive pause following yesterday’s sharp gains, but support already formed at 6245. This could serve as a trampoline for the next bullish upmove of a re-run of the the triple-bottom breakout we saw in April to 6400.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 6270, Bearish 6240

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6250, 6245, 6230
  • Potential resistance: 6260, 6265, 6270

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9440? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10500?

The DAX is still pointing north, testing 10200 following yesterday’s bullish breakout at 10100. Said breakout scuppers the April downtrend and opens up the possibility of a run-up to 2016 highs of 10500.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 10210, Bearish 10120

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10150, 10130, 10100
  • Potential resistance: 10200, 10250, 10350

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18150?
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 17330? or;

Dow Jones futures have broken beyond April falling highs at 17750 which opens the door to a rally back to 2016 highs of 18150. Note the break at 17750 coincides with completing an inverse head & shoulders reversal from May lows.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 17810, Bearish 17740.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17775, 17763, 17750, 17700
  • Potential resistance: 17790, 17800, 17900

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1180? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1305?

Gold continues to break lower after ditching 3-month rising support on a combination of USD strength and lack of interest in safehavens amid a rally in equities.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1235, Bearish $1219

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1242, 1240, 1237, 1231
  • Potential resistance: 1244, 1246, 1247, 1248

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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