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Index Focus - 20 November 2017

European equities are in recovery mode having initially opened lower after German coalition talks fell through late last night. Both the UK’s UK Index and the German DAX have bounced from session lows as investors digest not only what the future of the German government will end up looking like (first ever election re-run needed or a Merkel-led minority government?), but also how the collapse of negotiations in Berlin will affect those continuing in Brussels between the UK and the EU. The German President is expected to make an announcement at 1:30pm GMT. Meanwhile, US investors continue to digest to probability of US tax reforms being passed before year-end, needing Republican senators to overcome a multitude of hurdles to make their two seat majority count.

The UK Index has turned positive thanks to gains for European-exposed defensives, including ULVR, DGE and VOD (EUR bounce), while UK-focused Banks (UK Brexit bill offer to be increased), SKY (21st Century Fox M&A) and GSK also offer support. Weighing are HSBC (Chinese financial regulation changes), Shire (Roche positive drugs tests) and Miners (commodities lower).

Germany’s DAX is following suit thanks to gains for Prosibensat.1 (Commerzbank upgrade), Volkswagen (core brand/China investment), RWE (mulling €16.8bn Innogy sale) and Commerzbank (continued M&A speculation), while a range of heavyweight Defensive names weigh (EUR rebound).

The UK Index 100 has bounced from lows of 7350 to test Friday afternoon’s 7390 highs. The DAX 30 has also recovered from early lows to trade back above 13000. Dow Jones Futures have found support at 22,275 to maintain a shallow rising channel from last Wednesday’s lows. Gold is holding above a duo of support at $1290 after Friday’s breakout.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall below lows of 7,350? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards record highs of 7,475

The UK Index 100 has bounced from lows of 7350 to test Friday afternoon’s 7390 highs.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,405, Bearish 7,380

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways, within downtrend
  • Potential support: 7385, 7370, 7355, 7320
  • Potential resistance: 7390, 7405, 7420, 7440, 7480, 7500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 11,850 or;
  2. Will the index rise to record highs of 13,534?

The DAX 30 has also recovered from early lows to trade back above 13000.

Watch levels: Bullish 13,050, Bearish 12,890

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 13020, 13000, 12890, 12850, 12670, 12330
  • Potential resistance: 13040, 13050,13075, 13100, 13150, 13200, 13220, 13320, 13420, 13500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 23,000? or;
  2. Will the index rise to fresh highs of 23,620?

Dow Jones Futures have found support at 22,275 to maintain a shallow rising channel from last Wednesday’s lows.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 23,350; Bearish 23,270

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 23330, 23320, 23300, 23270, 23240
  • Potential resistance: 23350, 23380, 23400, 23410, 23420, 23460, 23470, 23500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,265? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,315?

Gold is holding above a duo of support at $1290 after Friday’s breakout.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1295, Bearish $1289

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways/Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1290, 1285, 1280, 1275, 1270, 1265, 1260
  • Potential resistance: 1295, 1297, 1300, 1305

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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