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Index Focus - 19 April 2016

Equity markets are handsomely positive this morning, still benefiting from the oil price rebound as supply disruption from a Kuwaiti strike helps offsets the (misplaced) weekend disappointment from Doha. A weak USD following dovish Fed commentary is also keeping commodities and their miners bid while a Dow Jones back at 9-month highs 18,000 and a decent US earnings season so far is maintaining risk appetite. Equities continue to extend their gains from 2016 lows taking headwinds in the stride and preferring to focus on the positives.

UK 100  extending gains to test the 6400 level last traded in December. DAX30 made bullish break above 10,100 and 200-day moving average. Wall Street/Dow futures testing 18050, above November highs and just 2% from last May’s all-time highs. Gold made another bounce off rising support at $1230 thanks to a weaker USD rather than safehaven seeking.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 5500? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7100?

UK 100  extended its bounce to 16.5% to test the 6400 level last traded in December. Can it push on to 6600 and take the rally to 20%? RSI rising lows is positive, not yet overbought.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6390, 6380, 6360
  • Potential resistance: 6410, 6415, 5450

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700?  or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12400?

The DAX has made a bullish break above 10100 which clears a major hurdle and opens up the possibility of a rally back to 10900, which would extend the current 18% rebound from Feb lows to 25%. RSI not yet overbought.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10275, 10250, 10200
  • Potential resistance: 10300, 10400, 10500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 15265? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18375?

The Dow Jones has broken above November highs which open up the possibility that it can regain the all-time highs posted last May. Strong uptrend, RSI rising lows.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 18045, 18020, 17960
  • Potential resistance: 18065, 18150, 18200

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1209? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1262?

Gold made another bounce off April rising support at $1230, however, this time thanks to a weaker USD making the commodity cheaper rather than demand being sought in the precious metal refuge. If $1240 holds, recent highs could be revisited.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1242, 1240, 1236
  • Potential resistance: 1244, 1246, 1250

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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