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Index Focus - 15 August 2016

Equities have resumed their northerly march with a return of the old ‘bad news is good news’ helping indices attempt another leg higher at this early stage of the new trading week. A poor Japanese GDP print adds to disappointing US and China data last week and to concerns about global growth. It also piles pressure on the BoJ to deliver the goods next month to compound Tokyo’s chunky fiscal pledge. This implies the easy policy (low/negative rates + stimulus) that equity markets love being prolonged. The ECB is less than three weeks from deciding what to do now the BoE has fired its bazooka. The Fed looks ironically hamstrung from another rate hike by peer action and Chinese equities are rallying this morning on hopes of more PBOC stimulus.

The UK 100 has broken above last week’s highs to hold its uptrend of rising lows from 4 Aug with multiple support at 6900. The DAX 30 looks headed for 11000 to continue its uptrend after the recent bullish breakout at 10500Dow Jones futures are again flirting with record highs, although still in a potential bearish rising wedge. Gold looks to be in a new narrowing pattern after bouncing at $1335.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6610? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 6940?

The UK 100  is holding its uptrend of rising lows from 4 Aug with multiple support at 6900 and a breakout above last week’s highs of 6930.

Watch levels: Bullish 6950, Bearish 6925

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6940, 6935, 6930, 6925, 6920, 6915, 6910
  • Potential resistance: 6954, 7000, 7045, 7075

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 12360?

The DAX 30 looks headed for 11000 to continue its uptrend after the recent bullish breakout at 10500. Not the RSI overbought but not yet turned back.

Watch levels: Bullish 10815 Bearish 10770

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10790, 10780, 10770, 10750, 10740, 10720
  • Potential resistance: 10800, 10810, 100870, 11000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index make new record highs? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 17050?

Dow Jones futures are again up close to all time highs with a bearish rising wedge pattern reinforcing the likelihood of a pullback from resistance thereabouts.

Watch levels: Bullish 18640, Bearish 18505

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 18548, 18473, 18462, 18400, 18320, 18000
  • Potential resistance: 18637

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1305? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1375?

Gold looks to be in a new narrowing pattern after bouncing at $1335. Bullish pennant? Or H&S top waiting for breakdown?

Watch levels: Bullish $1343, Bearish $1333

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1338, 1335, 1330, 1325, 1320, 1315, 1310
  • Potential resistance: 1340, 1353, 1356, 1360

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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