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Index Focus - 13 July 2016

Equity markets are hovering around break-even this morning, taking a little breather from their recent uptrend after US bourses made fresh all-time highs, the UK prepares for a changing of the guard and investors get excited about more monetary and fiscal stimulus to foster economic growth and counter myriad headwinds. Here at home I say no rate cut from the BoE tomorrow (not yet anyway, and here’s why). The bearded-wonder Bernanke visiting old mucker Kuroda at the ‘out-of-ammo’ BoJ also means potential discussions about the merits of last resort ‘helicopter money’ (central bank funded fiscal stimulus) to kick-start an economy that just can’t get out of neutral. Central banks to the rescue, again? With a mix of risk and defensives now driving the UK Index , is appetite gradually shifting back from the high-yielding non-cyclicals after their stellar gains?

The UK 100  is holding a 5-day uptrend after bouncing from 6650. Longer-term bullish patterns still valid. The DAX30 rebounding from 9920 means it could be in the midst of a bullish flag pattern towards 10100. Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are holding around fresh all-time intraday highs 18372. Retrace or further to run? Gold has bounced from $1330 after breaking down at $1350 from a bearish double-top. Back to $1300? Signal for risk-appetite?

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6440? or;
  2. Will the index breakout above 6700?

The UK 100 is holding a 5-day uptrend after bouncing from 6650. The longer-term bullish patterns  we recently highlighted (3-week bullish flag, 11-month bullish inverse H&S reversal) are still valid.

Watch levels: Bullish 6710, Bearish 6640

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6680, 6670, 6660
  • Potential resistance: 6690, 6700, 6704

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9160? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10460?

The DAX30 rebounding off 9920 means it could be in the midst of a bullish flag pattern back to 10000 and on towards 10100.

Watch levels: Bullish 9995, Bearish 9915

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 9960, 9940, 9920
  • Potential resistance: 9980, 9990, 10000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 15250? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 18372?

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are holding around fresh all-time intraday highs 18372. Retrace or further to run?

Watch levels: Bullish 18360, Bearish 18335

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 18215, 18175, 18025
  • Potential resistance: 18325, 18365, 18400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise above highs of $1375?

Gold has bounced from $1330 after breaking down at $1350 from a bearish double-top. Back to $1300? Signal for risk-appetite?

Watch levels: Bullish $1346, Bearish $1334

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend to correction
  • Potential support: 1338, 1336, 1328
  • Potential resistance: 1342, 1344, 1350

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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