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Index Focus - 11 August 2016

Equities are mixed this morning with the UK’s UK 100 down by about 30 points due to an unusually large set of stocks going ex-dividend – some big dividends at that. European markets are largely positive, as are US futures. Sentiment may have been dented by BoE QE teething problems over the last couple of days with that ever present worry that central banks are not only running out of options, but are also pushing their luck with certain areas of the market – like pension funds.

This is important. While people can easily be confused by jargon and the technicalities of QE (‘I don’t know what this all means, but I’m not an economist and so must trust that the Bank of England is trying to do the right thing’), they understand very well what pensions are, have likely been paying into one for some years and will not be endowed with confidence by watching pension deficits widen due to zero yielding bonds.

The UK 100 is on the back foot although support is holding at rising lows from last week. The DAX 30 is consolidating after a strong Wednesday – some profit taking likely – ahead of another potential leg up towards 10880Dow Jones futures have sold back from resistance at the ceiling of a 2 day falling channel. Gold is trading around and about its major hourly moving averages.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6612? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 6864?

The UK 100  is trading in between rising support at 6814 and its 50-hour moving average at 6832. Note falling highs on the RSI.

Watch levels: Bullish 6845, Bearish 6810

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6814, 6800, 6780, 6747, 6675
  • Potential resistance: 6832, 6840, 6852, 6864

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 10100? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 10740?

The DAX 30 is pretty much where it was this time yesterday. Note potential support at the 20-hour moving average could provide the impetus needed for a re-visit of the ceiling of a 2 day sideways range.

Watch levels: Bullish 10750 Bearish 10625

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10656, 10645, 10630, 10516, 10480, 10377
  • Potential resistance: 10690, 10700, 10715, 10740

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards record highs of 18637? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 18250?

Dow Jones futures have bounced off rising support, however the 20-period moving average is currently a hurdle to northerly progress.

Watch levels: Bullish 18570, Bearish 18485

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18518, 18510, 18500, 18438, 18370, 18250
  • Potential resistance: 18535, 18550, 18557, 18570, 18585, 18637

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1315? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1367?

Gold has remained in a longer term narrowing pattern and is currently somewhat tied up in a muddle of moving averages. 

Watch levels: Bullish $1348, Bearish $1339

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1344, 1342, 1340, 1335, 1330, 1325
  • Potential resistance: 1345, 1349, 1355, 1357, 1360, 1365

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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