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Index Focus - 24 March 2016

Equity markets have made it another retreat from recent highs, much to the annoyance of hopeful bulls and vindicating recent bearish calls of ‘overbought’. Hawkish Fed member comments are at the root of the pullback, with a resulting stronger USD hampering the dollar-denominated commodities space. A backtrack in oil prices on swelling US stockpiles is also tempering risk appetite as investors gear up for the long Easter holiday weekend. A 5-week rally for global equities could be in jeopardy. Note DAX easily underperforming, failing to benefit from a normally beneficial EUR weakness for German exporter equities.

The UK 100  has found support at 6120, just above the floor of its March range. The DAX30 is back below 10,000 and in the midst of  a bearish pattern towards 9800. Wall Street’s rollover from highs is fast approaching 1-month rising support at 17400. Gold has fallen back from breached $1225 support due to a stronger USD and despite flagging risk appetite.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 5850? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6250?

The UK 100  decline has found support just above recent channel lows after Miners/Oil suffered from a stronger USD weighing on commodities space and retail sector taking a knock after poor results from Next. A range-traders paradise until a break is forthcoming.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6120, 6110, 6100
  • Potential resistance: 6140, 6150, 6160

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 10100?  or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 9750?

The DAX is back below 10000 and in the midst of a bearish head & shoulders reversal pattern having broken below a 9950 neckline. Potential for pattern to complete at 9800, possibly even all the way back to this week’s lows of 9750.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10050, 10000, 9960
  • Potential resistance: 10100, 10165

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 15500? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 17900?

The Dow Jones is still rolling over from recent highs following a near 14% recovery rally from mid-February (RSI suggests it was overbought at the highs). Bulls eyeing rising 1-month support to 17400 to keep the party alive, while Bears watch for any suggestions of a breakdown.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17400, 17240, 17200
  • Potential resistance: 17485, 17500, 17530

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1285? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1202?

Gold has already sold back from a revisit of the breached $1225 level, cementing its move from support to resistance. Falling highs since yesterday suggests potential for a retrace to end-Feb levels just above $1200.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1212, 1211, 1207, 1201
  • Potential resistance: 1220, 1225, 1232

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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