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Index Focus - 22 March 2016

Equity markets are already well off their worst levels following news of fatal explosions in Brussels at its airport and on its metro network. While nothing has been confirmed, memories of Paris last November are of course still all too fresh. As I have said many times before it is a hallmark of the 21st century that the markets’ reaction to such events can be so muted. On the flip-side it is equally encouraging to see such growing defiance to the horrors of the world  in which we now live. While travel stocks had their knee-jerk reaction sell-off and safehavens were bid, relative calm has quickly returned.

UK Index  bounced off 6110 to keep the index in its March’s channel. DAX bounce off recent lows 9750 to maintain 6-week rising support. Wall Street found support at last week’s 17520 pre-breakout resistance. Gold understandably benefited from fresh safehaven seeking but has since pulled back as risk assets like equities regain poise.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6000? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6240?

UK 100  tested fresh 7-day lows before bouncing. This keeps the index in its sideways channel offering the chance of a proper breakout above 6200. Bears focusing on the fact we are back below 9-month falling highs and the 200-day moving average.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6150, 6140, 6125, 6110
  • Potential resistance: 6160, 6175, 6195

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700?  or;
  2. Will the index rally towards highs of 11400?

DAX bounced off recent lows 9750 which keeps it in a 6-week rising trend. Can it bounce back to test 10000? Or is a breakdown on the cards?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 9850, 9800, 9750
  • Potential resistance: 9900, 9950, 10000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17450? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 17650?

US Dow Jones rebounded strongly towards recent 2016 highs. Back above 17600 will please those bulls eyeing 17900 while the Bears point to the steepness of the recent 13.5% gains and potential for retreat./

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17600, 17580, 17560, 17530
  • Potential resistance: 17620, 17640, 17640

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1285?

While Gold initially jumped on news of the Brussels explosions, it has since sold back as equities rebound. Anther narrowing pattern has developed around $1250, which could break either way, although if it is to be considered a continuation pattern then the prior move was of course upward via the recent strong rally.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1250, 1246, 1240, 1230
  • Potential resistance: 1260, 1265, 1270, 1280

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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