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Equity markets are surprisingly negative this morning, having initially been buoyed by last night’s fed update that improved global sentiment. Asian bourses are likely relieved that emerging market dollar-denominated debt is not likely to become heavier which has helped alleviate those growth concerns a bit, while broad USD weakness helped commodities and thus boosted UK Index mining stocks. However, more concerns about global growth have filtered through this morning – that being a reason the FOMC stood pat on rates.
Note yesterday’s budget statement which looked to big business to help fill the £18bn hole in the UK’s balance sheet and today’s BoE rate announcement are seeing the UK 100 trade in a circa 20pt range this morning. While no change is expected, we do think market participants will keep at least one eye on this. With just the one remaining eye free to seek out opportunities, trading volume is likely to be thin until this afternoon. Note also a stronger Euro hurting German exporters on the DAX.
UK Index is back from last night’s 6225 highs and range bound as mentioned above. DAX has slipped into the red, and back below 10,000. Wall Street is heading up towards 17400. Gold is attempting to embark on the second leg of a bullish flag pattern (visible on the hourly chart) that would take it back to recent $1285 highs.
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UK 100 has made an encouraging foray above its 200-day MA, but is struggling to make further headway with a retreat through 6185 and on towards 6175 a possibility. This keeps the March sideways channel in play.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
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DAX is back below 10,000, pulling back from a rising trend line that defines the ceiling of the index’s Feb rising channel. This keeps the 4-week uptrend in play. Support at 9845 will be eyed by bears as a target and bulls as an entry point.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
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US Dow Jones has rallied strongly above 17200 yet is battling a multitude of potential resistance levels – dependent on where you draw your trend lines. there are plenty of options here! Uptrend from mid-Feb low point remains intact and still within the confines of a duo of converging trend lines. That the index hasn’t broken down out of this rising wedge pattern is also encouraging. 17400 the key level to watch.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
Gold is making an attempt at the second leg of a bullish flag pattern that could see it re-gain 11 March highs $1285. Bulls happy that it’s managed to regain the Feb rising support line and 20-day MA, and surpass $1260, which makes the longer term uptrend look healthier once more. Bears, meanwhile, will note the short term RSI (15-min chart) falling back steeply from overbought.
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
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