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Index Focus - 12 January 2016

Equity markets are rebounding again off their worst levels having found new support at a higher level. Higher highs implies an uptrend, but we still face nasty downtrends from the beginning of the year and with major economic headwinds.  Beware of bull traps. Commodities remain under the kosh despite a valiant attempt by US aluminium giant Alcoa to suggest the future is bright with supply set to undershoot demand. Really? Sorry did I miss something? Is Chinese growth accelerating and the Eurozone rebounding? What’s changed?

UK Index bounced to break above trendline of 5-day falling highs. DAX broken above 5-day falling highs and test 10000. Wall St bouncing around between 16200 and 16475. Gold’s breakout taking a pause $1093-1110.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs of 6170? or;
  2. Will the index fall below lows of 5837?

UK 100 found support around 5850 and now broken above trendline of falling highs from beginning of year. Can it better recent highs shy of 5950?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 5900, 5880, 5860
  • Potential resistance: 5943, 5950, 5960

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs of 10400? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 9630?

Germany’s DAX  rebound continues with a break above 9980 to test 5-day trendline of falling highs just shy of 10000. Breakout or fakeout?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 9985, 9960, 9950
  • Potential resistance: 10050, 10100, 10130

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18000? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 15900?

US Dow Jones futures found support at 16200, but now just bouncing around 16200-16475, deciding whether to break higher or lower. RSI still recovering from oversold.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 16400, 16350, 16300
  • Potential resistance: 16450, 16500, 16590

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1190? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1046?

Gold holding above $1093  after its recent rally and breakout. The drop back from a test of of $1113 leaves it in a narrow range from which it is yet to decide which way to go. Up, down or sideways?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1093, 1090, 1085
  • Potential resistance: 1098, 1100, 1105

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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