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Index Focus - 11 March 2016

Equity markets have had a change of heart. Two in fact. After initially surging on the yesterday’s ECB headlines they subsequently sold off hard on Draghi’s ‘no more rate cuts’ comment (how very short-sighted). They have since recovered after realising that Super Mario still delivered more than markets were anticipating (more QE, wider QE, more rate cuts, attractive LTROs) and, more importantly, is a man of his word, prepared to do ‘whatever it takes’. So we may well be trading down for the week, but we are well off the lows (in some cases back just shy of highs) and with some bold central bank action safely banked. The latest effort to reignite growth and inflation in a struggling eurozone with some nice help for risk assets to boot.

UK Index  recovered to trade within its recent 6100-6200 consolidation zone. DAX back above key 9600 levelWall Street recovered to trade around its recent 17150 highs. Gold has turned back from making fresh $1285 highs as appetite for risk-appetite regains poise and safehaven demand weakens.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 5850? or;
  2. Will the index rally towards highs of 6200?

UK 100  made strong bounce from just shy of 6000. Back in recent 6100-6200 consolidation zone. Still potential for this to be a pause before another leg higher, with the ECB-inspired dip being merely a bump (albeit quite a big one) along the road. Imagine if Draghi hadn’t said what he did. Where would we be now?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6120, 6100, 6080, 6060
  • Potential resistance: 6140, 6160, 6200

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9150?  or;
  2. Will the index rally towards highs of 10000?

DAX back above key 9600 level which is the upper/lower hinge-point for the last month’s range. It’s been an interesting 24-hours bu have we regained enough poise to take us back towards 1000 highs?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 9700, 9600, 9500, 9400
  • Potential resistance: 9800, 9840, 9900, 10000

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise above highs of 17170, or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 16800?

US Dow Jones recovered to test recent highs. Real potential for a breakout with the 4-week uptrend still very much alive. Holding above the 200-day moving average is significant.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17100, 17071, 17050, 17015
  • Potential resistance: 17165, 17175, 17200, 17250

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1285? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards support at $1240?

Gold has fallen back from fresh $1285 highs, as demand for safehaven demands wanes as a result of rising risk appetite. Is a channel of sorts developing. SOme range trading to be had?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1263, 1260, 1255, 1250, 1245, 1240
  • Potential resistance: 1265, 1268, 1272, 1276, 1280, 1285

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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