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Morning Report - 19 June 2025

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Melrose Industries PLC 486.2 2.5%
International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 319.5 2.1%
Aviva PLC 615.8 1.9%
Imperial Brands PLC 2,967.0 1.4%
British American Tobacco PLC 3,662.0 1.3%

 

Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Howden Joinery Group PLC 852.5 -2.6%
GSK PLC 1,449.5 -2.1%
Ashtead Group PLC 4,476.0 -1.9%
Compass Group PLC 2,497.0 -1.9%
WPP PLC 521.4 -1.8%
Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 Year
UK 100 INDEX 8,843 0.1% 7.8%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 42,172 -0.1% 7.8%
DAX INDEX 23,318 -0.5% 29.1%
NIKKEI 225 38,538 -0.9% -0.1%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 8,524 -0.1% 9.7%

 

Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 75.39 0.33%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 76.78 0.10%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 3,353 -0.5%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 486 -0.9%
The UK 100 called to open -30 points this morning at 8,813.

4 Hours; 5 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

 

The UK 100 called to open -30 points this morning at 8,813.  The UK 100 looks set to open lower this morning ahead of todays Bank of England interest rate decision, although a hold is widely expected traders will be looking to the forward narrative from Andrew Bailey as to the trajectory of interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Wednesday modestly lower following the Federal Reserve’s latest policy update, where the central bank kept interest rates steady and Chair Jerome Powell signalled it would wait to see the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on inflation before proceeding on rates.  The Dow lost 44.14 points, or 0.10%, and ended at 42,171.66. The S&P slipped 0.03% to close at 5,980.87, and the Nasdaq inched up 0.13% to settle at 19,546.27.  The Fed left its key rate unchanged Wednesday in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, as markets expected. Nevertheless, it turned out to be a mixed bag of news for investors, as the central bank still signalled two rate cuts this year while simultaneously hinting at a stagflationary threat. The policymakers lowered the 2025 forecast for economic growth to just 1.4% and raised the core inflation outlook to 3.1%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index led declines in Asia-Pacific markets Thursday, falling over 2%, as investors weighed the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates steady, while the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran continues to dent sentiment.  Meanwhile, mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.78%.  Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 lost 0.8%, while the Topix declined 0.52%. South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.15%.  Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was flat.

Company News & Broker Comments:

 

Company News:

Frasers Group said on Thursday that it won’t be bidding for Revolution Beauty after having confirmed earlier this month that it was looking at a cash offer for the up-for-sale business.

 

Hays today cut profit guidance for the June financial year after experiencing “broad-based weakness” in the permanent recruitment market.  Like-for-like net fees are expected to show a 9% decline in the fourth quarter of the year, against a soft prior-year comparative. The figure for permanent roles is down 14% and temporary and contracting 5% lower.  The global recruitment firm now expects a pre-exceptional operating profit of about £45 million, which compares with the City’s consensus forecast of £56.4 million.

 

Whitbread, owner of Premier Inn, reported a 4% decline in first-quarter total sales. The fall is attributed to ongoing weaknesses in the UK market due to challenging economic and geopolitical conditions.

 

Reporting Today:

 

UK

None

US

None

Reporting Tomorrow:

 

UK

None

US

Accenture (ACN) PMO

In Focus Today:

ECB’s Nagel speech

ECB’s De Guindos speech

BoE Interest Rate Decision

BoE Minutes

BoE Monetary Policy Summary

BoE MPC Rate Vote

Today’s Ex-Dividends:

 

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 19th June 2025:

Persimmon

Airtel Africa

Compass Group

Experian

3i Group

United Utilities Group

 

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 19th June 2025:

British Land Company

Tate & Lyle

MITIE Group

 

 

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