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Home / Trade Alert / Sell – GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) - 25 May 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 1625p
  • Stop Loss: 1650p (25p/1.5% above)
  • Profit Limit: 1560p (65p/4.0% below)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.6x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Technical Observations – For

  • Downtrend from recent highs
  • Broken below 50-day MA
  • Stochastics turned down from overbought
  • Momentum close to going negative
  • MACD close to bearish cross

Technical Observations – Against

  • Momentum still positive
  • Potential support around 1600p (200-day MA)
  • RSI wasn’t overbought before it turned down
  • No bearish reversal on P&F chart
  • No bearish cross yet for Directional indicators

Analyst Comments

Technicals indicators suggest the shares are in the midst of a correction back to long-term rising support. Peer AstraZeneca seems to be having all the good news at the moment. Rotation? Best news for GSK lately was delay to a generic whereas AZN has had positive clinical results. Citigroup negative on some big US pharma stock lately. UK fund manager Neil Woodford sold stake in GSK due over-reliance on HIV business.

Consensus majority neutral which offers potential for downgrades if prospects darken, and with 80% of price targets suggesting upside, these may require revisiting which results in ratings downgrades. The average of the 20% of brokers expecting downside is 1510p, well below our target. Most brokers updated already this month, so limited potential for positive surprises.

Next Event: Q2 Results, 26 Jul

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  39% Buy, 54% Hold, 6% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -2.2 2.4 -1.0 6.6 12.4 10.8 -0.3 -7.2 15.2
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