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Index Focus - 4 November 2016

Equity markets remain southerly oriented into the weekend. Investors remain nervous about who will prove victorious in next Tuesday’s US election. They are also having to deal with a more hawkish central bank outlook globally as the US Fed preps us for another step towards policy normalisation via a December rate hike and its Bank of England peer shifts away from more stimulus thanks to the UK economy weathering the Brexit storm. All this amid traditional apprehension before the US monthly jobs report, a half decent number likely all Janet Yellen’s Fed needs to see before pulling  the trigger.

The  UK 100  has already given up 300pts this week to revisit 6700. Recovery rally to 6800, or bearish pennant back to 4-month support at 6760?? Could July lows of 6600 even be on the cards? The DAX 30 has bounced off its 10200 200-day moving average and late September lows at 10190. Bounce to 10800, or bearish double-top breakdown to 9600? Dow Jones Futures declines may have slowed but they continue to flirt with September 17900 lows. Bounce to 18200 or bearish triangle breakdown to 17100? Gold is struggling to make headway at $1300. Breakout to $1308, or back to $1295 even though political reasons for safehaven demand remain?

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6640 or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7130?

The UK 100 has already given up 300pts this week to revisit 6700. Recovery rally to 6800, or bearish pennant back to 4-month support at 6660? Could July lows of 6600 even be on the cards?

Watch levels: Bullish 6730, Bearish 6685

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6700, 6690, 6660, 6650, 6610, 6600
  • Potential resistance: 6710, 6720, 6730 6750, 6760, 6775

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 10830?

The DAX 30 has found support just above its 10200 200-day moving average and late September lows of 10190. Bounce to 10800? Or bearish double-top breakdown to 9600?

Watch levels: Bullish 10260, Bearish 10180

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 10235, 10220, 10210, 10200, 10190, 10150, 10090
  • Potential resistance: 10245, 10255, 10260, 10290, 10300, 10325, 10330

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17066? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18666?

Dow Jones Futures declines may have slowed but they continue to flirt with September 17900 lows. Bullish bounce to 18200 or bearish triangle breakdown to 17100?

Watch levels: Bullish 17960, Bearish 17890

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 17900, 17800, 17700, 17600, 17500
  • Potential resistance: 17933, 17950, 17980, 18000, 18020, 18040

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1286? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1308?

Gold is struggling to make headway at $1300  Breakout to $1308, or back to $1295 even though political reasons for safehaven demand remain?

Watch levels: Bullish $1304, Bearish $1299

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1301, 1300, 23+9, 1297, 1295, 1294, 1292, 1290, 1286
  • Potential resistance: 1302, 1303, 1304, 1306, 1308

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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