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Index Focus - 1 September 2016

Equity indices are making a positive start to the new month, after a raft of PMI Manufacturing prints. Holes can be picked in overnight Chinese data after a Caixin report (private, small business-focused) deteriorated, however, markets appear more focused on an improvement in the government’s official report (focused on large and state-owned companies). The pair above breakeven for the first time in almost 2 years looks to be assuaging investors concerned about a slowing in the world’s #2 economy.

Commodities prices are thus reacting positively in spite of a US dollar holding recent highs and oil resuming a two-day downtrend. Eurozone PMIs may have failed to excite, but neither have they instilled any more fear. A big beat for the UK is also a welcome surprise, casting doubt over Brexit fears, however markets off their highs implies fears of the BoE needing to deliver less stimulus. So market still addicted to easy policy. Good data = bad data again?

The UK 100 has sold off to from 6825 to re-test 6800, reinforcing that bugbear 3-week falling channel. The DAX 30 has made a strong bounce from 10550, looking focused on retaking 10700 before challenging this year’s 10800 highs. Dow Jones futures above 18450 are towards the falling highs ceiling of a narrowing pattern. Gold is back testing 2016 rising support at $1305.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6735? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6955?

The UK 100 has sold off to from 6825 to re-test 6800, reinforcing that bugbear 3-week falling channel.

Watch levels: Bullish 6840, Bearish 6790

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6800, 6795, 6790, 6780, 6770, 6760, 6740
  • Potential resistance: 6810, 6820, 6825, 6830, 6840, 6850, 6860

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 10400? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10800?

The DAX 30 has made a strong bounce from 10550, looking focused on retaking 10700 before challenging this year’s 10800 highs. 

Watch levels: Bullish 10705, Bearish 10635

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10650, 10610, 10600, 10580, 10555
  • Potential resistance: 10690, 10700, 10740, 10750, 10800

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18670? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 18250?

Dow Jones futures above 18450 are towards the falling highs ceiling of a narrowing pattern.

Watch levels: Bullish 18480, Bearish 18430

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18450, 18440, 18410, 18390, 18360, 18330
  • Potential resistance: 18465, 18480, 18520, 18560, 18580, 18640

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1047? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1375?

Gold is back testing 2016 rising support at $1305. Bounce or breakdown. Strong USD making it more expensive to buy the safehaven.

Watch levels: Bullish $1309 Bearish $1303

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1306, 1305, 1304.5, 1300, 1280, 1260
  • Potential resistance: 1307, 1309, 1311.5, 1316, 1320, 1325

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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