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Index Focus - 22 July 2016

Equities are mixed this morning after a good run of gains for UK and US markets this week (the latter managing record highs almost every day…). A period of quiet that arguably started yesterday precedes a major US Fed update next week with many suspecting a more hawkish tone as US macro data continues to impress alongside corporate earnings and equity market gains. UK PMI data has just disappointed with Manufacturing, Services and Composite readings all in contraction territory (though note Manufacturing did beat consensus). The UK 100 has reacted positively, clawing back early losses and now trading around break-even on hopes the Bank of England may now have to stimulate the economy in August via an interest rate cut, more QE or another extension of the Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS). Or all three. Can the index hold on until end of play though?

The UK 100 ‘s PMI rally hit resistance just south of 6720 although profit taking this afternoon could muffle the positive effects of stimulus hopes. The DAX30 is under pressure from a stronger Euro following a set of European PMI beats. Dow Jones futures are positive but still looking toppy, potentially exposed to USD strength on technical grounds and with the Fed due to meet next week. Gold is firm around $1324, supported by economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions while simultaneously digesting a stronger USD.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards 6430? or;
  2. Will the index a rise towards 7065?

The UK 100  is still hovering around the 6700 mark with Friday volumes light. Potential for profit taking this afternoon.

Watch levels: Bullish 6750, Bearish 6650

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6660, 6645, 6630, 6610
  • Potential resistance: 6720, 6740, 6800

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9155? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12390?

The DAX30 is  in the upper regions of its week-long range, progress hindered by a stronger Euro.

Watch levels: Bullish 10250, Bearish 10045

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10060, 9940, 9770
  • Potential resistance: 10200, 10360, 10500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 18635? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 18470?

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have met resistance at 18554, the mid-point of  their 2-day range.

Watch levels: Bullish 18560, Bearish 18540

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 18530, 18522, 18508
  • Potential resistance: 18554, 18570, 18590

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1310? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1360?

Gold is trading near rising support, though a steep downtrend this morning could engineer a breakdown. Bulls looking to a risk-off afternoon to provide added support though.

Watch levels: Bullish $1326, Bearish $1321

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1323, 1322, 1320
  • Potential resistance: 1325, 1330, 1333

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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