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Equity markets are mixed this morning with the UK’s UK Index rallying, the German DAX flat and US futures suggesting a weaker start, but only after a handsomely positive finish last night. The UK Index breakout beyond pre-Brexit highs (levels last traded in August 2015) comes as markets ride a fresh wave of hope that more stimulus is on its way and rates set to stay low for longer. This after BoE Governor Carney flagged up additional policy easing this summer to counteract the economic blow from last week’s UK referendum vote to leave the EU. This would see the bank re-join a highly accomodative ECB and BoJ . Perhaps more influentially though, the resulting GBP weakness and resulting USD strength may also prevent the US Fed from delivering any rate hikes until well into next year. Much to the joy of equities! Some real risk appetite appears to be creeping back in, but the UK Index is still getting more help from safehaven-focused equities and high yielding defensives which continue to outperform.
The UK 100 has broken above 6400 and 6500 and could be in the early stages of a bullish inverse head & shoudlers reversal pattern worth 900pts. The DAX30 is back below 9700 at the floor of its rising channel since Monday’s lows. Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have made a decisive break beyond 17800 to test 17900, and while the rate of ascent is very steep it’s still valid. Gold has broken north from a symmetrical triangle pattern that sees the prior uptrend continue towards a revisit of $1340, helped by uncertainty and safe haven demand.
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The UK 100 uptrend from last Friday’s post-Brexit vote lows has seen it break above 6400 and 6500. It could be in the early stages of a 900pt bullish inverse head & shoudlers reversal pattern of the April 2015 downtrend. BUT beware the steep rate of ascent lately and potential for a cooling off and retracement.
Watch levels: Bullish 6540, Bearish 6495
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
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The DAX30 is back below 9700 at the floor of its rising channel from Monday’s lows. Will we see a bounce back to 9900 to test the ceiling?
Watch levels: Bullish 9705, Bearish 9645
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have made a decisive break beyond 17800 to test 17900. The rate of ascent is extremely steep but it’s still valid.
Watch levels: Bullish 17890, Bearish 17850
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
Gold has broken north from a symmetrical triangle pattern that sees the prior uptrend continue towards a revisit of $1340, helped by uncertainty and safe haven demand.
Watch levels: Bullish $1339, Bearish $1329
Solid Green line
Possible support
Solid Red line
Possible resistance
Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.
Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals
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