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Index Focus - 23 June 2016

Equity indices are trading fresh recovery highs despite political event-risk looming large in the form of a long-awaited UK referendum on EU membership. A cloud of uncertainty (literally, with rain to boot) hangs over Blighty, while the continent and global financial markets look on with fascination given the far-reaching influence its democratic decision could have. Referen-dominos? But strength in UK equities and Sterling (both holding up around recent recovery highs) suggests confidence that a Remain vote will prevail, the Undecided voting for the status quo, helping avert potential financial, economic and political crises. However, opinion polls remain extremely tight (more to come today) meaning it’s ‘squeaky bum time’ for all those involved in financial markets right through ’til the early hours of tomorrow morning.

The UK 100  is pushing on from its break above 6300, extending its six-day pre-referendum recovery rally. The DAX30 has broken beyond 10200 to test 2-month falling highs while Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have broken beyond 2-week falling resistance at 17900. Gold bounced off $1260 lows, but held back by falling highs at $1270.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 5900? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6430?

The UK 100  has made it as high as 6350 in its pre-referendum rally. Can it continue to 2016 highs of 6430? Or are we set to retrace to lows of 5900? Note RSI holding overbought territory.

Watch levels: Bullish 6365, Bearish 6280

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6340, 6330, 6310
  • Potential resistance: 6355, 6400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9430? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10500?

The DAX30 has broken beyond 10200 to test 3-month falling highs. A UK Remain vote could help with a revisit of 2016 highs while a Leave could seal a significant retrace

Watch levels: Bullish 10350, Bearish 10290

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10300, 10280, 10260
  • Potential resistance: 10350, 10360, 10400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17330? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18160?

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are testing 3-month falling highs at 17975

  • Watch levels: Bullish 18000, Bearish 17835

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17960, 17940, 17920
  • Potential resistance: 17990, 18000, 18075

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1315?

Gold bounced off $1260 lows, but held back by falling highs at $1270 as it awaits UK referendum news for its next driver up or down based on safehaven demand.

Watch levels: Bullish $1270, Bearish $1265

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1265, 1260, 1250
  • Potential resistance: 1270, 1275, 1280

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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