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Index Focus - 15 June 2016

Equity indices have found their feet again suggesting recent pessimism linked to Brexit fears, central bank updates and China/global growth uncertainty having run its course, now priced in. And our three index majors have all delivered bounces from round numbers – the UK’s UK Index from 5900, the German DAX from 9500 and the US Dow Jones from 17600. Event risk nonetheless remains significant as we prepare for the US Federal Reserve update on policy and outlook this evening and the Bank of Japan’s own effort in the wee hours. And that’s before we even get to the elephant in the room – the UK referendum on EU membership – with a trio of polls expected this afternoon that could well suggest a Leave vote is on the cards and see market jitters return.

The UK 100  has bounced from 5900 and looks set for a test of the 6000 we broke below yesterday. The DAX30 continues its bounce from 9500 thanks to shallow rising support. Can 9800 be  regained? Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have seen their turnaround recovery break back above 17700 and early June lows. Gold has pulled back on improved market appetite for risk but still needs to breach $1280 and $1276 to kill off the uptrend.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 5840? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6430?

The UK 100 has bounced nicely from 5900 and looks set to challenge the 6000 level we broke below yesterday. Note the RSI having recovered from oversold  – the bullish signal we had been waiting for. Is a rebound and recovery on the cards?

Watch levels: Bullish 6005, Bearish 5975

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 5980, 5970, 5960
  • Potential resistance: 5990, 6000, 6020

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 9400? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10530?

The DAX30 continues its bounce from 9500 thanks to shallow rising support. Can 9800 be  regained? Note the RSI has made a bullish recovery from oversold, just like the UK Index .

Watch levels: Bullish 9675, Bearish 9635

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 9650, 9640, 9630
  • Potential resistance: 9660, 9665, 9675

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17330? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 18000?

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures have seen their turnaround recovery break back above 17700 and early June lows. A move above 17750 could suggest that the recently breached rising channel could be regained.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 17740, Bearish 17710

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17720, 17690, 17685
  • Potential resistance: 17735, 17740, 17760

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1305?

Gold has pulled back on improved market appetite for risk but still needs a breach of $1280 and $1276 to kill off the uptrend. Note the RSI falling back from overbought – a bullish signal for equities, with their own RSIs showing recovery from oversold.

Watch levels: Bullish $1291, Bearish $1275

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1280, 1277, 1272
  • Potential resistance: 1286, 1290, 1295

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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