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Index Focus - 3 June 2016

Equity indices are in the green this morning as crude oil prices grind higher and risk sentiment remains buoyed ahead of this afternoon’s US Jobs report. The outcome of that looks priced in with a low bar having been set at 160,000 job adds – if that’s met or exceeded, expect the Fed to jump on it. A positive US Services PMI read this morning is also serving to bolster the mood among those touting a good bill of health for the US economy. Good vibes all round!

Note Brexit jiggery pokery appears to have been kicked to the sidelines, as has just about everything else because it’s Non-Farms Friday. Surprise surprise…

The UK 100  is re-testing the 6250 level that represents the floor of late May’s sideways range. The DAX30 is undecided on direction after a volatile start to the day, yet could benefit from a  weaker Euro this afternoon. Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are flat (bullish flag amid bullish head & shoulders reversal?) and Gold continues to move into its late May narrowing range which, given the current situation, looks like consolidation ahead of further downside.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6150? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 6290?

The UK 100  has made an exploratory foray north this morning, launching itself clear of the neckline of a 4-day bullish head & shoulders reversal pattern. Currently consolidating once more, Bulls are looking to the recent up move to continue towards the pattern’s completion at or beyond the end-May high 6293. Bears, meanwhile, seeing 6250 resistance holding firm.

Watch levels: Bullish 6260, Bearish 6210

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6235, 6230, 6225, 6220
  • Potential resistance: 6245, 6250, 6260

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 10160? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 10370?

The DAX looks under a little pressure this morning, though it is  still positive. If the index can break out above 10275, we’ve a potential complex head and shoulders pattern that could deliver further gains back to the highs of 10373. Note however that a triple bottom at 10160 may complete at 10300.

Watch levels: Bullish 10290, Bearish 10215

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10237, 10230, 10220
  • Potential resistance: 10267, 10275, 10285

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 17660? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 17930? 

Wall Street/Dow Jones futures are consolidating after breaking out above the neckline of their own bullish head & shoulders reversal. Bulls seeing current consolidation as part of a bullish flag heralding further upside towards 17930 while bears are seeing the rally capped around 17860, if not at current levels.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 17855, Bearish 17815

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17820, 17800, 17783
  • Potential resistance: 17845, 17853, 17863

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1288? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1199?

Gold’s is moving further into a narrowing range – bears seeing that become a continuation pattern ahead of resumption of the downtrend from the 2 May high, in accordance with current risk appetite in equity and oil markets.

Watch levels: Bullish $1220, Bearish $1205

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1210, 1208, 1205
  • Potential resistance: 1212, 1215, 1217

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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