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Index Focus - 14 March 2016

Equity markets are making a solid start to the week, continuing with their post-ECB bounce. Poor China data over the weekend has stoked the fires of stimulus hopes, helping commodities and miners, which maintains the February uptrends and keeps Bulls hopeful of proper breakouts to extend of current rally and get major indices back to positive territory for 2016. Bears, however, persist in highlighting inability of major indices to register a solid advance through recent highs resistance, intent on talking the markets back south. While no policy change is expected from a host of central banks this week (BoJ, Fed, BoE, SNB) markets are well aware of how easily rhetoric can prove just as important, sometimes more so.

UK Index  turned back just shy of 6200 to maintain a 1-week trend of falling highs. DAX broke above 10000, only to fall back just as quickly. Wall Street had an early attempt at 17200 but has settled back just below. Gold bounced off $1250 2-month rising support.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index break above highs of 6200? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 6000?

UK 100  already turned back from another attempt at 6200 which adds to the trend of shallow falling highs just above the 200-day moving average (6187). Continued consolidation?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 6160, 6140, 6120, 6100
  • Potential resistance: 6175, 6180, 6195

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700?  or;
  2. Will the index rally towards highs of 11500?

DAX already tested 1000 resistance this morning which shows appetite for a breakout and continuation of the uptrend. Beware any negatives on the Eurozone or EUR sending the index back to rising support 9500

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 9965, 9900, 9865
  • Potential resistance: 10000, 10045, 10140

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise above highs of 17970, or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 15500?

US Dow Jones still hanging around, trying to engineer a breakout at 17200.  battling with both rising and falling resistance.  Safely above 200-day moving average.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17160, 17150, 17115
  • Potential resistance: 17205, 17220

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1285? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1080?

Gold has found support at $1250 after retreating from Thursday’s fresh 13-month highs. Steep uptrend from mid-Jan still alive, with potential for this  bounce to result in another attempt on recent $1280 resistance.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1255, 1252, 1248, 1245, 1240
  • Potential resistance: 1260, 1262, 1270, 1275, 1285

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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