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Index Focus - 26 February 2016

Equity markets are continuing their northerly march, sentiment buoyed by hopes that a G20 meeting of finance ministers to discuss global economic stimulus can deliver the goods. Especially host China, whose central bank (PBOC) sees room for further easing of policy to address downside risks to its slowing economy. Add to this Oil prices back at recent technical resistance highs on Venezuela’s suggestion that a March meeting had been agreed by Saudi Arabia, Russia and Qatar, and we have the major equity indices delivering breakouts beyond recent highs (or close to doing so) which has the bulls excited about the prospect of overcoming the poor start to 2016.

UK Index  broken out from 3-month down channel to re-visit 6100. DAX could be on its way to re-test late-Feb highs 9600. Wall Street in the midst of a break out from recent rising channel at 16800. Gold in a narrowing pattern with a $1234 apex.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs of 7075 or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 5500?

UK 100 broken out from 3-month down channel to test 6100. This allows for an attempt on Jan highs and 9-month falling resistance at 6130.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6080, 6065, 6040
  • Potential resistance: 6100, 6130, 6165

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs of 9900? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 8700?

DAX remains in a 3-day uptrend, which could results in a re-test of recent 9600 highs. A breakout could allow for the run to continue as high as 9850 end-Jan highs.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 9550, 9500, 9450
  • Potential resistance: 9600, 9700, 9800

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards highs of 17800, or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 15450?

US Dow Jones in the midst of a breakout from its recent rising channel. Having regained 16800, this could clear the way for 17000.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 16800, 16750, 16700
  • Potential resistance: 17000, 17200

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1253? or;
  2. Will Gold retrace towards lows of $1200?

Gold made another higher low which puts it in a narrowing pattern moving towards an apex and thus make-or-break decision around $1234. Will global risk appetite keep rising, hampering the safehaven?  Or will fear return to send the yellow metal back to its highs

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1232, 1230, 1229, 1226
  • Potential resistance: 1234, 1236, 1238, 1240

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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