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Index Focus – 28 Oct - 28 October 2015

Equity markets are in the blue this morning, but like yesterday, not by much. US macro data remains mixed so that markets still betting on no increase in US interest rates before year-end (expecting any potential move to come well into 2016) and thus a mildy bullish mood prevailing with global central bank peers either having already eased policy (China) or being largely expected to do so (Japan, ECB). Tightening by the US Fed thus seen as being divergent with global peers’ actions, a driver for uncertainty and thus a bad idea.

UK Index  remains beneath the 6400 handle and in a downtrend from last Friday’s 2-month highs while the Oct uptrend still intact. DAX pushed up above late Oct falling highs, however still wrestling with 10800 – pause for breath after last week’s 600pt advance? Wall St remains in a similar situation following its own march north last week though now above yesterday’s resistance 17600. Gold looking to reverse course from down- to up-trend with a test of its 2-week falling channel ceiling and overnight breakout above $1170.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rise towards 6500? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 6260?

UK 100  bounced off rising trend line dating back to late Aug lows that forms the floor of an October rising channel, still below bugbear 6400 level while we note the 100-day MA potentially acting as resistance. Hourly RSI in an uptrend having rebounded from oversold.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 6380, 6370
  • Potential resistance: 6400, 6420, 6430

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 11600? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 9400?

Germany’s DAX remains below 10800, however completion of a messy bearish double top formation has given impetus to bulls looking to re-test that level. Beware double resistance just above, but if the index can push up and through 10850 we could see the second leg of a bullish flag pattern emerge.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10730, 10700, 10660
  • Potential resistance: 10800, 10860

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index break out towards 17680? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 17130?

US Dow Jones futures potentially consolidating after strong gains on  22 and 23 Oct with the index again testing falling highs resistance from last Friday. Note 200-day MA at 17580 provided support yesterday which will encourage bulls looking for a return to May highs.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 17610, 17590, 17580
  • Potential resistance: 17635, 17645, 17660

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold rally towards $1250? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards $1080?

Gold broke back above $1700, support around $1160 helping the commodity into the upper part of  a nearly 4-month rising channel. Note the 200-day MA $1173 as potential resistance.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 1164, 1162, 1160
  • Potential resistance: 1173, 1175, 1180

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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