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Index Focus – 28 Sept - 28 September 2015

Equities in the red this morning, hindered by yet more disappointing China data as industrial profits for August fell at their fastest pace in the 4 years since records began. This adds to questioning over the health of the slowing nation and how the transition to consumption led growth from infrastructure-led is beginning to bite as well as how it may affect US rate-rise timing. Miners hurting on China news imply less commodity consumption while M&A hopes and fears see SABMiller (SAB) and Vodafone (VOD) as today’s blue-chip bookends in terms of points contribution (+8pts and -7pts, respectively). Catalan pro-independence success last night in a referendum warm-up is also adding to Eurozone political risk.

UK Index  holding above 6050 amid uptrend from last-week’s September lows. DAX held back by 9700 falling highs from mid-month. Wall St. back around 16250 rising support from Thursday lows. Gold found support at $1136 keeping it in uptrend from mid-month.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 6270? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 5880?

UK 100  back from Friday’s highs but still in uptrend from last weeks September lows of 5870. A bounce of 6040-50 could deliver another up-leg towards September highs. A break below would surely mean a revisit of lows.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sidweways
  • Potential support: 6040, 6000, 5950
  • Potential resistance: 6100, 6135, 6170

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 10300? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 9320?

Germany’s DAX still fighting against trend of falling highs from two Fridays ago. Bounce of last week has lost momentum.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 9520, 9460, 9360
  • Potential resistance: 9650, 9675, 9700

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 18150? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards 15225?

US Dow Jones futures still taking a breather amidst the bounce from 16000 lows. Upside potential to falling highs 16700, but any drop back towards 16000 could lead to a full retreat to summer lows.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 16250, 16200, 16000
  • Potential resistance: 16400, 16407, 16590

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold  rally towards $1157? or;
  2. Will Gold fall towards $1099?

Gold found support at $1136 via trend-line of rising low dating back to mid-month. While a rally back to recent highs is possible, beware the longer term trend-line of resistance which led to last week’s retreat.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1136, 1130, 1120
  • Potential resistance: 1145, 1150, 1157

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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