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Index Focus – 17 Sept - 17 September 2015

Equities higher in the red, although nothing major, reversing a little of yesterday’s strength but still holding above key breakout levels. UK Index found support at 6200 breakout following overnight revisit of 6250. DAX in narrow 10200-10300 range. Dow off month highs but holding above 16700 breakout. Gold static around $1120 after breakout.

Positive moves yesterday have been tempered by traditional hold-off-and-see stance by market participants ahead of a Fed announcement, this one all the more important given its potential to include the first rate hike in a decade, signalling the beginning of the end of extraordinarily cheap money and exit from ‘crisis’ mode (Janet reducing alert to Fedcon Level 4?).

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards 6300? or;
  2. Will the index break down towards 6020 ?

UK 100  breakout at backtracked to re-test 6200. Consolidation before another go at 6300? Uptrend from late-Aug lows intact, but should we be worried about falling highs around 6250?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 2100, 6180,. 6150
  • Potential resistance: 6250, 6270, 6300

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index break out towards 10700? or;
  2. Will the index break down towards 9315?

Germany’s DAX moved into narrower 10200-10300 range although still in an uptrend. Watch for breaks either way

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 10210, 10170, 10100
  • Potential resistance: 10295, 10335, 10500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index break up towards 17200? or;
  2. Will the index fall back towards 15260?

US Dow Jones futures broken above recent highs 16700. Will this level turn supportive for any retrace to keep the accelerated uptrend on a path towards prior highs? The ascending triangle pattern could mean upside potential of 70opts, meaning a return to mid-Aug levels around 17400.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend to uptrend
  • Potential support: 16700, 16710, 16650
  • Potential resistance: 16775, 16800, 16950

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold  break above $1,125? or;
  2. Will Gold fall back towards 1,110?

Gold delivered breakout from imperfect 3-day ascending triangle pattern, after shift sideways from 1-month downtrend and September falling channel. Falling highs to be feared again at 1125?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend, sideways
  • Potential support: 1118, 1115, 1110
  • Potential resistance: 1123, 1125, 1127

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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