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Index Focus – 16 Jul - 16 July 2015

Equity markets giving a mixed reception to overnight Greek Parliamentary approval of tough reforms for a third bailout and the ramp-up of US Q2 earnings  season. Note Germany’s DAX outperforming the UK’s UK Index and US Dow Jones due to dollar-strengthening rate-rise comments from the Fed Chair Yellen which ushered the EUR to fresh lows, thus benefiting Germany’s exporters.

The single currency is further weighed by Greek PM Tsipras facing strong rebellion within his coalition-leading Syriza party meaning political risk attached to potential re-elections (should he be forced to resign) and another sure-fire referendum-echoing rejection of austerity. And that’s before we talk of the standoff between Europe and the IMF on the touchy subject of Greek debt relief if the nation is to have any chance of returning to a position of sustainable debt and self-financing ability.

UK 100 holding just below 6800 after recent breakout. DAX30 continuing to edge higher, nearing 6-week highs 11700. Dow Jones eyeing June highs 18180. Gold testing 2015 lows.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally to highs of 7,070? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards support at 6,410?

UK 100  pausing just shy of 6800. Early week breakout keeps 9-month uptrend alive, but June highs 6880 need to be bettered before 7000 can be assumed. 200-day MA now likely supportive  at 6747. Note RSI falling back from overbought.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 6750, 6720, 6707
  • Potential resistance: 6790, 6810, 6880

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs 12,400? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 10,650?

Germany’s DAX still advancing, with 11500 and 11600 now likely turning supportive for any pullback. Trading 6-week highs, there is potential to regain 12000.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 11600, 11500, 11400
  • Potential resistance: 11700, 11800, 11900

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index rally towards highs of 18,365? or;
  2. Will the index fall towards lows of 17,025?

US Dow Jones joined European peers to break above May falling highs. Strong bounce  from 17500 offers chance to revisit May all-time highs.  18,000 surely supportive now for any pull-back.

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 18100, 1800, 17950
  • Potential resistance: 18180, 18200, 18365

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold bounce back towards highs $1308? or;
  2. Will Gold fall back to support $1131?

Gold is back testing 2015 lows. A Fed-strengthed USD  and Crisis weakened EUR not helping.  Bounce or break?

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sidwways
  • Potential support: 1145, 1142, 1131
  • Potential resistance: 1150, 1155, 1160

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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