Today's Main Events
- 09:00 EU German IFO
- 09:30 UK CPI
- 09:30 UK PPI
- 11:00 UK CBI Reported Sales
- 13:00 US House Price Index
- 14:00 US New Home Sales
- 14:00 US Consumer Confidence
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
| UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| BG Group PLC | 1082.5 | 20.5 | 1.9 | -16.6 |
| Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC | 303.6 | 4.5 | 1.5 | -10.2 |
| Lloyds Banking Group PLC | 78.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| Diageo PLC | 1819.5 | 19.5 | 1.1 | -9.0 |
| Mondi PLC | 1045 | 10.0 | 1.0 | -0.1 |
| Tesco PLC | 293.35 | 2.5 | 0.8 | -12.3 |
| Legal & General Group PLC | 207.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -6.7 |
| Aberdeen Asset Management PLC | 366 | 2.7 | 0.7 | -26.8 |
| UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Randgold Resources Ltd | 4627 | -204.0 | -4.2 | 22.1 |
| Fresnillo PLC | 852 | -33.0 | -3.7 | 14.3 |
| Smiths Group PLC | 1280 | -43.0 | -3.3 | -13.5 |
| Hargreaves Lansdown PLC | 1374 | -40.0 | -2.8 | 1.5 |
| Wolseley PLC | 3304 | -88.0 | -2.6 | -3.5 |
| G4S PLC | 233 | -6.1 | -2.6 | -11.2 |
| Barratt Developments PLC | 393.7 | -9.7 | -2.4 | 12.8 |
| SSE PLC | 1475 | -35.0 | -2.3 | 7.7 |
| Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| UK UK 100 | 6,520.39 | -36.78 | -0.56 | -3.39 |
| UK | 16,019.40 | -140.71 | -0.87 | 0.53 |
| FR CAC 40 | 4,276.34 | -58.94 | -1.36 | -0.46 |
| DE DAX 30 | 9,188.77 | -154.17 | -1.65 | -3.80 |
| US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 16,276.70 | -26.07 | -0.16 | -1.81 |
| US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,226.40 | -50.40 | -1.18 | 1.19 |
| US S&P 500 | 1,857.44 | -9.08 | -0.49 | 0.49 |
| JP Nikkei 225 | 14,423.19 | -52.11 | -0.36 | -11.47 |
| HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 21,752.33 | -94.12 | -0.43 | -6.67 |
| AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5,336.63 | -10.27 | -0.19 | -0.29 |
| Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
| Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 99.525 | 0.155 | 0.16 | 0.6788 |
| Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 106.615 | -0.25 | -0.23 | -3.5253 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 1313.8 | 1.9 | 0.14 | 8.8894 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 20.0325 | 0.1175 | 0.59 | 2.5225 |
| Platinum ($/oz) | 1431.55 | -2.35 | -0.16 | 4.3519 |
| GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.6493 | – | -0.02 | -0.3202 |
| EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3833 | – | -0.03 | 0.662 |
| GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1924 | – | 0.01 | -1.1032 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
The UK 100 is set to open up 16pts at 6531pts after the Dow Jones managed to overturn a 150pt intraday decline to finish in the red by a more palatable 26pts. One of the main drivers for the move south was a decline in US manufacturing as reported by Markit Economics. The preliminary index decreased to 55.5 in March from 57.1 a month earlier – a reading above 50 indicates expansion.
The initial knee-jerk reaction was understandable given just hours earlier Chinese manufacturing data had too disappointed. Reassuringly buyers returned as the Dow Jones fell, focussing on the positives – the reading was the second-highest since January 2013 and confirmed expansion.
Elsewhere in US markets the S&P 500 closed down -9.08pts at 1,857.44pts and NASDAQ closed at 4,226.39pts down 50.5pts.
Keep an eye on proceedings at 09:30 and 14:00 for further economic updates from the UK and US respectively. For the UK we will receive the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and from the US, the latest Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales figures.
Asian markets were reasonably placid, shallow losses of less than 0.5% registered across the Nikkei, Hang Seng and ASX 200. This amounts to profit taking after the prior day’s rally.
Results today: Wolseley (WOS.L) H1 Revenue £6.25bn, H1 pretax profit £316m, H1 dividend 27.5p, “still facing headwinds in continental Europe” Kingfisher (KGF.L) FY Profit before tax £759m up 4.1%, Revenue £11.13bn (£11.18bn expected), Final dividend 6.78p (6.9p expected) will return £200m to shareholders this year, sees a pickup in consumer spending, “looking for a strategic partner in China”. A.G. Barr (BAG.L) Profit increased by 9.6% to £38.1m, revenue rose 6.9% to £254.1m, total dividend up 10% to 11.02p p/share.
In focus today: DE IFO Current assessment/business climate/expectations at 9:00. UK BBA Mortgage approvals, CPI PPI RPI at 9:30, US House price index at 13:00, US Consumer confidence at 14:00, US New home sales, EU Mario Draghi speaking, US FED Lockhart speaking at 20:00, US Philadelphia FED’s Plosser speaking at 23:00.
Commodities: Copper rose 0.3% to $6,485.25 tn following speculation that China will take measures to bolster growth and supply concerns from a mine in Chile. Gold rose 0.6% to $1,316.86 oz because of concerns over Russia invading other parts of Ukraine boosting demand for the safe haven. WTI crude drops 34cents to $99.26 a barrel while Brent crude slipped 13cents to $106.68 a barrel amid speculation stockpiles rose for a 10th week in the US.
FX: Euro slipped 0.1% to $1,3831 against the dollar but rose 0.3% against the Yen to 141.49 ahead of German IFO reports due late this morning. Indian rupee rose to a 7-month high against the dollar of 60.4775 as foreign investment increases amid speculation the forthcoming election of a new government will hasten the nation’s economic recovery.
For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.
See Live Macro calendar for all details
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research