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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – HSBC (HSBA) - 30 August 2016

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 558p
  • Stop Loss: 535p (23p/4.1% below)
  • Profit Limit: 650p (92p/16.5% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 4.0x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Observations – For

  • Breakout to fresh 2016 highs
  • Potential bullish flag pattern
  • Golden cross by 50 & 200-day MAs
  • Momentum rising lows
  • ADX (trend strength) at 3.5yr highs

Observations – Against

  • Stochastics & RSI close to overbought
  • Momentum still around breakeven
  • Volumes have been falling (but it is August)
  • MACD fallen back from its highs

Analyst Comments

Shares have made a strong breakout that may attract new investors and analyst upgrades. The 540p objective of a Feb-Jul bullish triple-bottom reversal pattern has already been exceeded. Higher interest rates are beneficial for bank profitability hence no panic about another US rate hike. More exposure to Asia and emerging markets and less exposure to Brexit is a helpful combo.

With half of brokers still neutral on the shares, there is potential for the share price breakout to generate analyst upgrades to both ratings and price targets. This makes sense with 77% of price targets offside, that is suggesting downside from current levels, while only a quarter of brokers are actually negative on the stock.

Next Event: Q3 results, 7 Nov

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  29% Buy, 45% Hold, 26Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

15-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, RSI, Momentum, Directional Indicators

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 2.8 13.1 25.2 19.5 12.6 -13.9 -19.6 0.3 10.9
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