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Index Focus - 27 March 2017

Global equities are nursing losses after Trump’s US healthcare reform bill withdrawal highlighted Republican divisions that fuel doubts about passing the other stimulus pledges that got him elected. Whilst an unfortunate stumble at his first major hurdle, market weakness is thus far limited, suggesting hope it might even open the door to making earlier headway on the pro-growth policies (infrastructure spending, bank deregulation, tax reform) that inspired the recent global risk-on rally.

The UK UK Index is struggling under the weight of Miners (stronger GBP, weaker base metals prices) and Banks (US deregulation difficulties, lower US inflation and fewer Fed rate hikes). This is easily overshadowing minor benefit from Healthcare (reform withdrawn) and Safehaven Miners (precious metals rallied). Germany’s DAX is underperforming with losses almost across the board, most notably among Lufthansa, RWE, VW, Thyssenkrup and Commerzbank on a combination of sector downgrades and global growth concerns.

The UK Index 100 has found support at 7255 to keep the November uptrend alive. The DAX 30 is back above 11960 in the middle of its 11875-12100 range. Dow Jones Futures declines look to have been stemmed by intersecting rising support at 20440. Gold at $1256 has made a bullish break beyond 5-month falling highs and its 200-day moving average.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 6650? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7455?

The UK Index 100 has found support at 7255 to stall a bearish flag and keep the November uptrend alive. Beware RSI holding oversold and 7290 resistance by way of breached 50-day moving average.

Watch levels: Bullish 7295, Bearish 7275

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7278, 7275, 7270, 7260, 7255, 7250, 7200
  • Potential resistance: 7285, 7295, 7300, 7310, 7335, 7345, 7350

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 11,650? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,180?

The DAX 30 is back above 11960 in the middle of its 11875-12100 range.

Watch levels: Bullish 11990, Bearish 11960

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 11950, 11930, 11900, 11875, 11850, 11800, 11780
  • Potential resistance: 12000, 12050, 12100, 12150, 12180

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 19,800? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,666?

Dow Jones Futures declines look to have been stemmed by intersecting rising support at 20440. Note RSI holding oversold which could be bearish?

Watch levels: Bullish 20,510, Bearish 20,470

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 20480, 20450, 20440, 20400, 20300, 20200
  • Potential resistance: 20500, 20510, 20520, 20540, 20580, 20600, 20650, 20700

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,123? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,375?

Gold at $1256 has made a bullish break beyond 5-month falling highs and its 200-day moving average. Can it rally to 9-month falling highs at $1280? RSI not yet overbought.

Watch levels: Bullish $1258, Bearish $1255

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1256, 1254, 1252, 1250, 1248, 1245, 1244, 1242, 1241
  • Potential resistance: 1258, 1259, 1260, 1264, 1270, 1280

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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