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Accendo’s Foreign Exchange Forecasts, Monday 21 May 2018

The strongest factors influencing the direction and momentum of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates are changes in the key interest rates, themselves highly sensitive to macroeconomic data such as inflation and economic growth. Higher interest rates tend to render the currency more attractive (and vice versa) which in turn can result in it strengthening versus other currencies….

Ryanair: Engineering for a guidance beat

Shares in low-cost carrier Ryanair are +2.5% in spite of an uncharacteristically downbeat surprise profits warning. Or was it? After a strong 2018, with profits +10%, the worse outlook is being pinned on rising staff costs, now that it is recognising unions, and falling air fares amid fierce price competition, both likely to eat into…

UK 100 : Are you ready to tumble?

The UK Index has been rallying hard, flirting with fresh record highs, on the combined benefit of high oil prices and a weaker GBP, lifting the spirits (and investment accounts) of many bullishly-minded investors Have we gone too fast, too far? Does anyone out there honestly think that the current market rally is unstoppable and that we…

BT: Profitable either way

This week, one of our recent trade ideas, on BT, came within a whisker of our profit limit. As nice as that was for clients, what was even better were the three valuable lessons on offer about profiting from short-term moves within longer-term trends, and continually reviewing all open trades. Lesson #1 – Long-term trends, Short-term trades…

Accendo Press Quotes – Week Ending 18 May 2018

Friday, 18 May London South East Investors were more sceptical and the shares fell 2.5 percent in early trading. “Astra shoots for stars, but misses,” Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets wrote in a note to clients. http://www.lse.co.uk/FinanceNews.asp?code=l9jzk3ns Handelsblatt Der Quartalsumsatz blieb allerdings weit hinter den Erwartungen der Experten zurück, die sich nun auch weniger…

AstraZeneca: Trust me (on guidance), I’m a doctor

AstraZeneca may not be the UK Index ’s heaviest faller this morning (that prize goes to JMAT). However, by virtue of its heavyweight status (2.9% weighting) it is inflicting the most damage, taking almost 6pts off the index. This comes after Q1 results missed consensus expectations; revenues by a shade, profits by rather more, as…

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