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Ferguson

Is this an opportunity to take a position ahead of the results?

Ferguson issues a Q1 Interim Management Statement on Tues, 4 Dec

  • The chart shows the price movement last time Ferguson reported: FY Results, 2 Oct.
  • The shares opened -326p (-5%), rebounded to -248p (-3.8%, high of the day) and traded as low as -456p (-7%)
  • Shares closed -446p (-6.8%), for a daily trading range of 208p or 3.2%.
  • 3 Oct: Analysts at Numis say Ferguson should maintain its momentum in the coming year though unchanged 2018-19 estimates.
  • 2 Oct: The building materials supplier reported a 15% rise in profit, but struggles in UK business (£72m restructuring charges) overshadowed continued growth in its core US market.
  • Shares -27% from 2018 highs, +2.7% from 2018 lows, -8% year-to-date.
  • Recent share price range: Nov lows 4688p; Nov highs 5397p. Currently 4900p (at time of writing).
  • Ferguson issues a Q1 Interim Management Statement on Tues, 4 Dec. Will we see another big move?

Click to enlarge

Trading Ferguson – An Example

Let’s say you think that Ferguson results are likely to be good, and the share price is likely to rise. You decide to buy exposure to £10,000 worth of Ferguson using CFDs, at the current price of 4900p. To do this, you need £2,000.

For the purpose of this example, let’s assume Ferguson reports strong results and the shares rise 10%. Your profit would be £1000, from your initial investment of £2,000.

Conversely, let’s assume you open the above position, and place a stop-loss 3% below the current price. Ferguson results miss, it falls 3% and hits your stop-loss. Your loss would be £300.

This is provided for information purposes only. It should not be taken as a recommendation.

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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