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Carnival

Is this an opportunity to take a position ahead of the release?

Carnival is due to issue a Full-year Results on Thurs, 20 Dec

  • The chart above shows the price movements last time Carnival reported (Q3 Results, 27 Sept).
  • The shares opened -13p (-0.3%) during UK open, traded as high as +37 (+0.7%), but fell as low as -413p (-8.3%) when the company reported results in the afternoon.
  • The shares closed -258p (-5.2%), for a daily trading range of 450p or 9%.
  • Shares fell sharply after the leisure & travel company results missed expectations.
  • Carnival also issued a Q4 profits guidance below market expectations.
  • Shares -14.5% from 2018 highs, +5.6% from 2018 lows, -11.5% year-to-date.
  • Currently trading at 4328p (at time of writing).
  • Carnival will publish Full-year Results on Thurs, 20 Dec. Will we see another big move?
  • Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires, AlphaTerminal

Click to enlarge

Trading Carnival – An Example

Let’s say you think that Carnival results are likely to be good, and the price is likely to rise. You decide to buy exposure to £10,000 worth of Carnival using a CFD, at the current price of 4328p. To do this, you need £2,000.

For the purpose of this example, let’s assume Carnival reports strong results and the share price rises by 10%. Your profit would be £1,000, from your initial investment of £2,000.

Conversely, let’s assume you open the above position, and place a stop-loss at 5% from the current price. Carnival results miss, it falls 5% and hits your stop-loss. Your loss would be £500.

This is provided for information purposes only. It should not be taken as a recommendation.

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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