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Accendo’s Foreign Exchange Forecasts, Monday 12 June

Macro observations As the dust settles after the one of the most surprising and insightful general elections in recent British history, foreign exchange traders will have to re-adjust their forecasts for Pound Sterling. When the election was called, Prime Minister Theresa May and her Conservative party were expected to significantly increase their parliamentary majority. However,…

Buying into market uncertainty

Financial markets detest uncertainty… well, unless that uncertainty causes the value of sterling to fall, boosting the earnings of some 70% of UK 100 constituents trading in dollars, and results in an index gain nearing record levels – welcome to the general election fallout! Does this mean the UK Index could continue to trickle north…

What’s changed? Sell-off overdone?

Among the UK 100 ’s worst performers, following yet another political surprise, are sectors that our clients love to trade. With Conservative PM May set to remain in power has anything changed? Shares are already well off their worst levels implying calm returning. Was the sell-off overdone? Is there potential for further recovery? Are we…

May-day, May-day; Tory majority hanging by a thread

5.45am As it stands, this could go down as one of the most impressive political backfires in UK history. After Brexit, of course. From a position of apparent strength less than six weeks ago, it looks very likely that PM May will see her parliamentary majority erased. A Conservative loss of outright power would surely…

Berendsen: Non! Non! OK, oui

Berendsen (BRSN) is today’s winner, +8.4% after agreeing to a revised £2.2bn offer from French workwear rental and laundry service competitor Elis (ELIS). As suggested 18 May, previous rebuffs merely served to extend the M&A tango and encourage a third bid. As expected, BRSN has successfully eked out a better offer for shareholders. The latest…

Accendo’s Foreign Exchange Forecasts, Monday 5 June

Macro observations After seven long weeks of campaigning the UK general election is now only days away and, depending on which poll you take into consideration, the race is either becoming too-close-to-call or is all but over. But it’s not just the election that will influence foreign exchange markets this week. In fact, there are…

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