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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – Randgold Resources - 14 February 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 6223p
  • Stop Loss: 6500p (277p/4.6% above)
  • Profit Limit: 5500p (723p/11.6% below)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.6x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Technical Observations – For

  • Breach of channel; below 2017 lows
  • Potential bearish flag forming
  • Point & Figure chart bearish
  • ADX (trend strength) strong

Technical Observations – Against

  • Several indicators oversold
  • Momentum off lows
  • Linked to safe haven Gold
  • Volume declined since sharp sell-off

Analyst Comments

One of the worst performing UK 100 members of 2018 (-16%), down almost as much as the struggling bond-proxy Utilities, in spite of supposed safehaven qualities. Principal product Gold under pressure from strong USD as inflation returns to US, increasing need for Fed central bank to hike rates. Stronger USD means non-USD buyers get less bang for their buck equivalent, Hawkish Fed may negate need to hedge for inflation.

The old adage, “if everyone a buyer, who’s left to buy?”, is particularly apt given that there are no brokers with negative opinions and all price targets are above the current share price. However, might some of these need reviewing, even downgrading, in light of the recent sell-off and new market set-up (inflation, hawkish Fed, stronger USD).

Next Event:  Ex-dividend, 22 Mar; Q1 Results, early May

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  59% Buy, 41% Hold, 0Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

14-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -4.2 -15.3 -10.8 -17.2 -16.5 0.5 21.2 32.0 5.4
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